78 on a J78 board against a nit

[luckbalks]

Villain is 16/4/1. All streets please

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $3</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($12, 4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $9</font>, SB calls, 2 folds.

Turn: 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($30, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets $15</font>, Hero calls.

River: 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($60, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets $36</font>, Hero ???.

[kekedarius]

callcallcall

[Fonkey123]

[ QUOTE ]
callcallcall

[/ QUOTE ]

[terp]

i'd call, but i'd fold AJ

[jlocdog]

Luckbalks,

Call and see T9s here like 75% of the time. Diamonds the other 25%.

Terp,

Why? Whats he difference?

[luckbalks]

[ QUOTE ]
Call and see T9s here like 75% of the time. Diamonds the other 25%.


[/ QUOTE ]

So calling is correct or can you find a fold here ever?

[jlocdog]

Well the pot is offering you right about those odds. I probably call given its that close just out of curiosity and to gain some info.

[luckbalks]

you were right he had T9 clubs.

[terp]

[ QUOTE ]

Terp,

Why? Whats he difference?

[/ QUOTE ]

just a line in the sand. it's pretty close and the fact that we have two pair is fairly irrelevant except that it makes more combinations of weirdly played one pair hands probable. i think nits will show up with overpairs here sometimes.

basically his line is weird such that we have to do some game theory/combinatorial guessing to decide what to call with since we can't nail his range down