#1
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NL25 - monotone flop, anyone folding this set?
No reads as I was new to the table (after a while shortstack had stats of 73/0/0.3 and bigstack 48/11/5.3). I was happy to go all in, but is it a best decision?
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 9 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter) Hero (SB): $27.00 BB: $27.85 UTG: $18.35 UTG+1: $13.65 MP1: $27.30 MP2: $26.10 MP3: $4.30 CO: $24.65 BTN: $27.35 Preflop: Hero is dealt 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (9 Players) UTG calls $0.25, UTG+1 calls $0.25, <font color="red">MP1 raises to $1.35</font>, 4 folds, Hero calls $1.25, BB folds, UTG calls $1.10, UTG+1 calls $1.10 Flop: ($5.65) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $3.75</font>, UTG folds, UTG+1 calls $3.75, <font color="red">MP1 raises to $7.50</font>, <font color="red">Hero ???</font> |
#2
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Re: NL25 - monotone flop, anyone folding this set?
i am assuming those numbers reflect only the hands that those opponents have played here at this table? When you refer to "bigstack" who exactly is this?
Anyway you are correct to push here. UTG+1 most likely has big diamond. MP1 most likely has overpair with possible big diamond. If behind to unlikely flopped flush, you have 7 outs to hit boat on turn and 10 outs to hit boat on river. No way Im folding this set. |
#3
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Re: NL25 - monotone flop, anyone folding this set?
I wouldn't love it, because this is four-way to the flop and donks like this love to be soooooooooooted, but I'd shove here. 32% of the time you're going to suckout anyway, and there's some dead money in there to compensate.
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#4
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Re: NL25 - monotone flop, anyone folding this set?
This is a very easy push.
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#5
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Re: NL25 - monotone flop, anyone folding this set?
toymach, you are correct, never played with them before so only stats from this table. And what I meant, Big stack(100bb)was MP1 and shorter stack UTG+1.
As I went all in,<font color="white">they of course turned over worse possible hands, higher set and flopped flush, so even though I boated up to the river, it didn't help. Can we realistically expect them to show up often enough with flushdraw/overpair to make this +EV or am I just fooling myself with giving them too optimistic ranges?</font> |
#6
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Re: NL25 - monotone flop, anyone folding this set?
[ QUOTE ]
Can we realistically expect them to show up often enough with flushdraw/overpair to make this +EV or am I just fooling myself with giving them too optimistic ranges? [/ QUOTE ]pushing here is totally standard and there is a reason it's standard. It's even more standard considering the wierd stack sizes you're up against. Even IF UTG+1 has 88 you can still win the side pot by sucking out against a flush or holding up against a lone diamond. You had a real cooler this time, don't let that discourage you about the right play. |
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