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  #1  
Old 08-26-2007, 04:49 PM
CallMeJohn CallMeJohn is offline
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Default 100 NL - Hero flops set and is considering folding?

I'm the first one to advicate that you should never fold a set. Well, never say never.

SB is a bit of a donk
BB is solid, tight over a small sample size
MP2 is a solid reg. i have him running 19/9.5/3.5 over 1300 hands

OnGame's Room No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (7 handed) by Hand Converter CG

Hero ($97.50)
SB ($100.50)
BB ($183.65)
UTG ($100.25)
MP1 ($9.80)
MP2 ($218.95)
CO ($53.25)

Hero is dealt [3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]]

Preflop: is with
UTG calls $1, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP2 calls $1, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, calls $1, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($5) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $2.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $8</font>, UTG folds, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets $26</font>, Hero scratches his head.

I flop a set and i'm facing 3bets. MP2 bet is the most concerning. I would think he normally raises TT or 99, but the table has been playing passive and i don't think he wants to stick in a raise and play this hand OOP. The only other had he could have is an OESD, but he wouldn't do that here.
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  #2  
Old 08-26-2007, 05:38 PM
justscott justscott is offline
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Default Re: 100 NL - Hero flops set and is considering folding?

How about top 2 is that in his range here?
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  #3  
Old 08-26-2007, 05:40 PM
Kos13 Kos13 is offline
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Default Re: 100 NL - Hero flops set and is considering folding?

Wouldn't a 19/9.5 raise PF with TT/99?
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  #4  
Old 08-26-2007, 05:44 PM
GrandMelon GrandMelon is offline
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Default Re: 100 NL - Hero flops set and is considering folding?

Hero should go all in cause he has a set
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  #5  
Old 08-26-2007, 05:57 PM
ship_it_trebek ship_it_trebek is offline
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Default Re: 100 NL - Hero flops set and is considering folding?

[ QUOTE ]
Wouldn't a 19/9.5 raise PF with TT/99?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah this looks like 2 pair

Edit: Especially if the table is playing passive, wouldn't his range increase?
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  #6  
Old 08-26-2007, 05:59 PM
CalledDownLight CalledDownLight is offline
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Default Re: 100 NL - Hero flops set and is considering folding?

[ QUOTE ]
Hero should go all in cause he has a set

[/ QUOTE ]

and 3 other villians all have at least top pair
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  #7  
Old 08-26-2007, 06:34 PM
rdrr rdrr is offline
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Default Re: 100 NL - Hero flops set and is considering folding?

[ QUOTE ]
Hero should go all in cause he has a set

[/ QUOTE ]
and

[ QUOTE ]
Wouldn't a 19/9.5 raise PF with TT/99?

[/ QUOTE ]
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  #8  
Old 08-26-2007, 09:57 PM
GiantBuddha GiantBuddha is offline
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Default Re: 100 NL - Hero flops set and is considering folding?

I really think top two is a huge part of MP2's range. Over-limping in the hijack with TT or 99 seems unlikely, although possible, of course.

BB could have any two pair as he got a free look. BB and MP2 are both pretty deep, so maybe MP2's trying to put pressure on big blind.

If this board was like 378 instead of 39T I'd be more concerned about a set from MP2. Maybe it doesn't make much of a difference, though. I go broke here either way.
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  #9  
Old 08-26-2007, 10:47 PM
CallMeJohn CallMeJohn is offline
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Default Re: 100 NL - Hero flops set and is considering folding?

Thanks for the replies. I didn't consider top 2. T9s would definitely be a possible hand to limp in.

What threw me in the hand was the action. MP2 is showing a lot of strength and i convinced myself i was beat and folded. Everyone else folded as well so i don't know what he had.
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  #10  
Old 08-26-2007, 10:49 PM
Kos13 Kos13 is offline
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Default Re: 100 NL - Hero flops set and is considering folding?

[ QUOTE ]
I didn't consider top 2.

[/ QUOTE ]

No offense, but why would you not consider T9 here? That's the hand you're most likely to see, IMO.
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