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#1
08-24-2007, 08:50 PM
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30NL- 65s blind steal flops combo draw
Villain is 48/17/6 over 20 hands. What do I do now?
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.30 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) UTG ($28.45) MP ($35.30) Hero ($60) SB ($65.55) BB ($56.10) Preflop: Hero is Button with 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1.2</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $2.4</font>, Hero calls $0.90. Flop: ($4.65) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $4.35</font>, Hero 
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#2
08-24-2007, 08:57 PM
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Re: 30NL- 65s blind steal flops combo draw
This is not a flop you want to get all-in on. Realize that with the paired board your equity is lower than on a non-paired board. I think you should call, peel one off and see what he does on the turn. You should only raise here if you want to be all-in and I don't think you do deepstacked.
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#3
08-24-2007, 09:48 PM
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Re: 30NL- 65s blind steal flops combo draw
i think you get a fold fairly often based on villains betsize
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#4
08-24-2007, 09:55 PM
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Re: 30NL- 65s blind steal flops combo draw
That's true ajmargarine that his equity is lower with the board paired but what about the folding equity?
I would raise 3.5x his bet here. He could have tt-qq or a9 and he bets that much on the flop to not let you see the turn cheap with your high cards (this may be his thinking),FD or SD. I believe he would fold a decent amount of those hands to make your play a good one. Not to mention that we may have noticed your blinds stealing and now he plays back at you making a min raise preflop and a PSB on the flop. I dont know but it seems to me like raising is the best option here.
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#5
08-24-2007, 11:49 PM
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Re: 30NL- 65s blind steal flops combo draw
[ QUOTE ]
This is not a flop you want to get all-in on. Realize that with the paired board your equity is lower than on a non-paired board. I think you should call, peel one off and see what he does on the turn. You should only raise here if you want to be all-in and I don't think you do deepstacked. [/ QUOTE ] I agree, the draw has much less equity here, with the board being paired.
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