#1
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55$Sunday million satelitte
I'm 36/63, 44 seats gets ticket. Guaranteed a small payout.
Poker Stars No Limit Holdem Tournament Blinds: t300/t600 (Ante: t60) 9 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: t3400 UTG+1: t1675 Hero: t3455 MP2: t7705 MP3: t3905 CO: t4155 Button: t4590 SB: t1620 BB: t1440 Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is MP1 with 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises all-in t1615</font>, Hero folds? |
#2
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Re: 55$Sunday million satelitte
i think you are well ahead of his range here, I think I'm pushing this.
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#3
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Re: 55$Sunday million satelitte
why risk it? look for a better spot.
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#4
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Re: 55$Sunday million satelitte
[ QUOTE ]
why risk it? look for a better spot. [/ QUOTE ] What better spot? this guy could be pushing any pair, any ace, any king, some queens and even a few suited connectors. He's UTG+1 with les than 3 BBs, he's going to be crippled in a couple of hands and he knows it so he's desperate. Against his range you are a big favourite, and you aren't going to get the seat without playing a few more hands. |
#5
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Re: 55$Sunday million satelitte
if hero was in late position i think this could be a good argument but if someone wakes up with a big PP in late position then hero is finished. so why bother risking it?
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#6
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Re: 55$Sunday million satelitte
keyser...as opposed to risking getting blinded down...this is a great isloation spot...push!!!
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#7
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Re: 55$Sunday million satelitte
very easy push
you are too short to tumble into the seats, so this is a great place to double up and get a seat. ...if you don't like risks you should play chess... |
#8
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Re: 55$Sunday million satelitte
[ QUOTE ]
if hero was in late position i think this could be a good argument but if someone wakes up with a big PP in late position then hero is finished. so why bother risking it? [/ QUOTE ] Monsters under the bed... Yes, you'll get looked up by better hands, but you can't worry about that. You can't get the seat by folding in, so by definition you must find +cEV spots to increase your stack and give yourself a better shot at the seat. This is one of those spots. Push. --TFGoose |
#9
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Re: 55$Sunday million satelitte
depends a lot on your table. The problem with the push here is that you're likely dominated or in a coinflip if no one else comes along. You said yourself its a guaranteed small payout and 44th gets paid the same as 1st. If you can successfully steal in late position(which you should be able to do considering the stacks behind you), you may want to let this go. You much rather be the initial pusher with 2-3 stacks behind you with 88 than overpush with 6 guys behind.
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#10
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Re: 55$Sunday million satelitte
[ QUOTE ]
The problem with the push here is that you're likely dominated or in a coinflip if no one else comes along. [/ QUOTE ] Why?? He's got 2 and 1/2 bbs, in a couple of hands he'll be in the bb and be pot committed with ATC. How on earth can you put him on such a tight range? Any pair and any ace is definitely in his range, as is any king. I wouldn't be suprised if he was pushing suited connectors as well. |
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