PS 6.50 BB Bubble hand against two big stacks

[Shortcorner]

This was a interesting bubble hand. UTG and Button have done nothing out of the ordinary, the button has been very text book. What made this difficult was the SB, who i've played against a couple of times and plays the bubble incredibley tight and poorly.



PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero (t2808)
UTG (t4055)
Button (t4362)
SB (t2275)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9, Q.
UTG calls t150, Button calls t150, [color=#666666]1 fold</font>, Hero checks.

Flop: (t525) 9, T, Q [color=#0000FF](3 players)</font>
Hero checks, [color=#CC3333]UTG bets t450</font>, Button calls t450, Hero???

[Sykes]

shove and then kick the cat when utg snap calls with QT?

[stevi3p]

i shove

[Shortcorner]

I folded thinking that they both liked their hands, UTG flop bet was bigger than usual villian call meant i had no FE and when i behind I'm destroyed but most likely only marginally ahead when i am ahead? SB is terrible and i thought if one of the big stacks busted, i had a great chance of second?

[Sykes]

you have equal chance at 3rd as you do 2nd even if one of these guys get knocked out (a little bit better but close). even morons get hands and/or draw out also.

[Shortcorner]

Thanks Sykes. I should have pushed.

FYI UTG had KK and Villian had made str8 with J8 and J8 held up when they got all in. Made me feel great about fold [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]. I still think it's close.

[Shortcorner]

Sorry for being like a dog with a bone, but i ran some poker stove. I think it makes a clear case for a fold. I think that I'm always getting called in this spot. I don't nearly have enough equity to push.

Board Qd Th 9d

Player 1 Qs9h = 31%
Player 2 99+,AJs+,KJs+,QTs+,JTs,AJo+,KJo+, = 29%
Player 3 JJ-99,AQs-AJs,KJs+,QTs+,J8s+,AQo- = 39%

Against player 2 isolated I’m a 53/47 fav
Against player 3 isolated I’m a 45/55 dog.