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  #1  
Old 08-11-2007, 03:59 AM
thephenom thephenom is offline
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Default 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

I recently began to try playing $22 STT SnGs again. I struggled a few months ago, and started again a few days ago. At first I was losing, but in my past 30 games, I have a 110% ROI.

I know that is a short time frame, but is that any indication that I will be a winning player at this level?
Or is it possible a run like that is just an anomaly?
Or part of variance and deviation?
Or is this a kind of run that is only possible if I truly am a winner at this level?

I know long term results are the only true test, but I'm trying to gauge what the road ahead holds for me.
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  #2  
Old 08-11-2007, 04:05 AM
Chawklit Rain Chawklit Rain is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

JUST PLAY 1000S OBV YOU ARE TOO GOOD.
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  #3  
Old 08-11-2007, 04:20 AM
Jamsym Jamsym is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

Play 1000 at least before you have any idea.
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  #4  
Old 08-11-2007, 04:59 AM
JamesBJames JamesBJames is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

I think you should start playing 1000s!
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  #5  
Old 08-11-2007, 05:12 AM
Arito Arito is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

1000s
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  #6  
Old 08-11-2007, 05:17 AM
4drugmoney 4drugmoney is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

Yeah 30 SNGS is def big enough sample size. Move up.
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  #7  
Old 08-11-2007, 05:34 AM
Bavid Denyamine Bavid Denyamine is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

to 1000s??
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  #8  
Old 08-11-2007, 05:54 AM
thephenom thephenom is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

Guys, I am actually aware that my last 30 games is not a long term indicator of my ability at the $22 STT SNGs.

I am asking if this run of 110% over 30 games is anything notable, or is it typical of a run that many players will have, even if they aren't long term winners.
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  #9  
Old 08-11-2007, 06:36 AM
isapistola isapistola is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

[ QUOTE ]
I am asking if this run of 110% over 30 games is anything notable, or is it typical of a run that many players will have, even if they aren't long term winners?

Guys, I am actually aware that my last 30 games is not a long term indicator of my ability at the $22 STT SNGs.

[/ QUOTE ]
d u c whut i did hier?
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  #10  
Old 08-11-2007, 11:26 AM
pa3lsvt pa3lsvt is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

[ QUOTE ]
Guys, I am actually aware that my last 30 games is not a long term indicator of my ability at the $22 STT SNGs.

I am asking if this run of 110% over 30 games is anything notable, or is it typical of a run that many players will have, even if they aren't long term winners.

[/ QUOTE ]

So you are asking if people can and do run hot, while fully admitting that your small (30) sample is statistically insignificant? Ever heard of Jamie Gold?

The long term pattern it indicates is that you are going to play more games. But that's mostly because you aren't busto (yet). Move up to where people respect your small sample sizes.
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