We have a gutshot

[Pat Southern]

Villain is MBOE who I see as pretty nitty at 17/5, essentially his range here is big aces, 22, 44, and maybe A2s, and A4s but I don't know if he calls PF with that. I'm almost positive all 6 outs are clean and I'm pretty likely to stack him if I hit. If on the off chance he has a random bluff I don't expect him to fire a 2nd barrell. I'm only looking to put more money in if I hit/or he gives me odds again on a turn bet of $25 or less (if he bets $25 I need to win $200 on a yahtzee river, there'd be $99 in pot+$138 in his stack, which I think makes up the difference he might find a river fold with AJ or something).
Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 4 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $414.30
BB: $251.45
Hero (UTG): $200.00
BTN: $185.00

Preflop: Hero is dealt 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 Players)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $7.00</font>, BTN folds, SB calls $6.00, BB folds

Flop: ($16) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $12.00</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $30.00</font>, Hero calls $18.00

[gimmetheloot]

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[Pat Southern]

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does that mean you think its a spew?

[0evg0]

i don't think MBOE is that nitty iirc, but maybe sample sizes?

i think you're a little too short to call here, but it's close because he really is stacking off like 100% of the time