NL200 - full house with AK facing river overbet

[moldman]

No reads on villain at all. This was only my 4th hand against him.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$1/$2 Blinds
9 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $285.30
BB: $272.80
<u>UTG: $207.60</u>
UTG+1: $37.25
MP1: $200.00
MP2: $623.75
MP3: $142.00
<u>Hero (CO): $194.00</u>
BTN: $195.00

Preflop: Hero is dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (9 Players)
UTG calls $2.00, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $2.00, MP3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $11.00</font>, BTN folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls $9.00, MP2 folds

Flop: ($27) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($27) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: ($27) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $50.00</font>, Hero ??


Before the comments roll in, I bet flop here almost always, but with the limp/call UTG, I thought I might be able to get him to overcall on later streets with a lower pocket pair. The turn card seemed pretty hideous to me though, and I can't imagine at that point being called by much that I have beat.

[jhill3535]

How could he have any thing other than TT or AJ here.....I guess he could have AA as well.....

But you are right, there isn't much you beat.....KQ, JJ, JT, 22-99, King High, Queen High, and you just caught up with AT.

[Christian_Peters]

J is a scarecard?

I would just play it straight, bet the flop and turn.

River, let's see, you have basically the 2nd nuts and you played the hand incredibly weak. I'm raising this a good bit.

[jhill3535]

25 games 0.005 secs 5,000 games/sec

Board: Tc Ts Ah Jh Ac
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 68.000% 52.00% 16.00% 13 4.00 { AsKc }
Hand 1: 32.000% 16.00% 16.00% 4 4.00 { JJ-TT, 22, ATs+, KQs, JTs, AJo+ }

[da_fume]

What is he gonna call with that doesn't split/beat you? I don't see a reason to feed the rake so I'd call.

[Renton]

bet turn call river

[Christian_Peters]

true.

[effang]

raise and call a shove. if you just call here and he shows you 99, you're going to go crazy. And if you just call and he shows you TT, you're going crazy too.

[da_fume]

[ QUOTE ]
raise and call a shove. if you just call here and he shows you 99, you're going to go crazy. And if you just call and he shows you TT, you're going crazy too.

[/ QUOTE ]

Where is the value though? If you raise his 99 he folds since he has the board.

[moldman]

[ QUOTE ]
raise and call a shove. if you just call here and he shows you 99, you're going to go crazy. And if you just call and he shows you TT, you're going crazy too.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why would I expect him to call a raise playing the board?