10NL: Valuebet this river?

[members_only]

Villain had been playing quite wild. In my first hand at the table, he limped in MP, called my button raise, and then c/r'ed big on an 8-2-2 flop before showing J5o. A few hands later I raised it up from the blinds with QQ, he called, I bet a J-high flop and then stack-a-donked him (expert) on the turn. He called all in with T2 for middle pair.

He may have been drunk as this hand took place at about 2.30 in the morning

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($13.75)
BB ($7)
UTG ($5.45)
MP ($30.80)
Hero ($18.90)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.10, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $0.5</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG calls $0.40.

Flop: ($1.15) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks.

Turn: ($1.15) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $0.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1.5</font>, UTG calls $1.

River: ($4.15) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG checks</font>, Hero?

Villain has about $3.50 behind

[corsakh]

Just check it.

[anthb7210p]

[ QUOTE ]
Just check it.

[/ QUOTE ]

flush hit so he could be going for a c/r, and a lot of straights

[cooker3]

Puuuuuuuuuuuuuush

[Ranma4703]

He's a moron and you have tp. Get it all in.

[BrunoThePug]

I think he's betting the turn with a mediocre hand or possibly air, simply because of your Raise-check line earlier in the hand. Based on his earlier retarded play his turn call doesn't mean much, maybe he's got a 6?

I'd value bet the river. AMIWRONG?

[members_only]

[ QUOTE ]
I think he's betting the turn with a mediocre hand or possibly air, simply because of your Raise-check line earlier in the hand. Based on his earlier retarded play his turn call doesn't mean much, maybe he's got a 6?


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Agreed. The question is whether he is going to call often enough with this mediocre hand to make up for the times where I stick him all in and he randomly turns up with a 5 or even a flush

[bozzer]

put him in for value.