Im back, time for a bluff

[carnivalhobo]

My first orbit, this guy is a loose/passive tag, runs about 24/15/2, he cant call here without 66 right?



SB: $129.55
Hero (BB): $200.00
UTG: $202.55
CO: $458.30
BTN: $279.75

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $7.00</font>, SB folds, Hero calls $5.00

Flop: ($15) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($15) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $12.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $51.00</font>, Hero calls $39.00

River: ($117) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets all-in for $142.00</font>

[Casper05]

gross, no. This looks like 67 (counterfeited on river) or some other boderline hand that really doesn't want a call. It sure doesn't look like diamonds.

He'll call here with 88+ imo.

[0evg0]

this is so terrible

if they're at all decent, they know you never have better than a straight after you check flop

if they're terrible they're never folding a straight

this is such incredibly terrible spew

[carnivalhobo]

[ QUOTE ]
this is so terrible

if they're at all decent, they know you never have better than a straight after you check flop

if they're terrible they're never folding a straight

this is such incredibly terrible spew

[/ QUOTE ]

i would check this flop with sets/nuts/combo draws, so bad assumption

[ikestoys]

depends on what he cbets, it sounds like you have a good idea of that

[theplux]

spewmeter is high

[0evg0]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
this is so terrible

if they're at all decent, they know you never have better than a straight after you check flop

if they're terrible they're never folding a straight

this is such incredibly terrible spew

[/ QUOTE ]

i would check this flop with sets/nuts/combo draws, so bad assumption

[/ QUOTE ]

trade one leak for another then

[tannenj]

fwiw i know the villain and i think he plays pretty straightforward.

i think this bluff is +ev against this guy; you guys don't seem to be attempting much handreading. this guy needs a flush or a boat to call (and he might even fold some flushes). he bets the flop with a set. he might bet the flop with a flush draw. i doubt he raises the turn with a flush draw. i put him squarely on a 5 and i don't see him calling much.

[tannenj]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
this is so terrible

if they're at all decent, they know you never have better than a straight after you check flop

if they're terrible they're never folding a straight

this is such incredibly terrible spew

[/ QUOTE ]

i would check this flop with sets/nuts/combo draws, so bad assumption

[/ QUOTE ]

trade one leak for another then

[/ QUOTE ]

you think checking this flop is a leak? joke?

[Imrahil]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
this is so terrible

if they're at all decent, they know you never have better than a straight after you check flop

if they're terrible they're never folding a straight

this is such incredibly terrible spew

[/ QUOTE ]

i would check this flop with sets/nuts/combo draws, so bad assumption

[/ QUOTE ]

trade one leak for another then

[/ QUOTE ]

It's a leak to c/r?