NL 5 - Top pair vs Calling Station

[rjacobs003]

Villian is 41/5/1 over 78 hands. For what it's worth over this number of hands, his WTSD % his 40 and W$SD% is 38. Comments on all streets appreciated but the main question I have is around whether this is good value betting or if I should slow down.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (4 handed) internettexasholdem.com

SB ($4.31)
BB ($3)
UTG ($2.92)
Hero ($5.74)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $0.08</font>, SB calls $0.07, BB calls $0.06.

Flop: ($0.24) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $0.24</font>, SB calls $0.24, BB folds.

Turn: ($0.72) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $0.4</font>, SB calls $0.40.

River: ($1.52) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1.02</font>, .............

[AZplaya]

I think your ahead of his range enough to warrant a value bet. Sometimes you'll get unlucky when his King rag or 62o spiked two pair, but I think you lose value if you check behind this river.

[yellowbastard]

[ QUOTE ]
I think your ahead of his range enough to warrant a value bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

[Fiksdal]

Ugh.. this is kinda thin. We don't even beat KT any more and villain could have AK/KQ too. I guess I take a showdown here.

[rjacobs003]

Ok that's 2 - 1. Any other thoughts? I think for most other players I'd check behind but I was basing the value bet mainly on the fact that he has a pretty poor record at showdown.

[Dan Bitel]

I'd check here, but bet if the T didn't come.

You're not even ahead of a random king here:

Board: Kd 6s 8h 2c Ts
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.000% 46.51% 03.49% 40 3.00 { KsJc }
Hand 1: 50.000% 46.51% 03.49% 40 3.00 { AKs, K2s+, AKo, K2o+ }



Add to that range other 2pairs and sets and i think this is a check on river