#1
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$16: 33 on the Button - Insta-cram?
My image is pretty tight as I haven't shown down many hands and the ones I have have all been strong.
<font color="blue"> READS: </font> SB is a loose player (42/12/3.5) but I haven't seen him get out of line with big preflop all-in calls. The BB has played pretty straightforward and is of average looseness. Poker Stars No Limit Holdem Tournament Blinds: t200/t400 (Ante: t25) 4 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: t2064 Hero: t3425 SB: t4666 BB: t3345 Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is Button with 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] UTG folds, Hero ? |
#2
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Re: $16: 33 on the Button - Insta-cram?
Instahot
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#3
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Re: $16: 33 on the Button - Insta-cram?
instahot meaning muck fast plz it's 33 and randoms don't care about image?
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#4
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Re: $16: 33 on the Button - Insta-cram?
Based on the read I would shove vs 16 regs. They aren't 5.50 regs. It's probably not as "insta" as I thought but it's still a shove. Image does matter, what world are you living in?
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#5
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Re: $16: 33 on the Button - Insta-cram?
idk from my experience at 6.50s/16s unless you're playing against regs image<<<<<cards villain holds. i dunno if i like pushing 33 but maybe it's a leak i need to fix..
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#6
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Re: $16: 33 on the Button - Insta-cram?
6.5 is much, much diff from a 16. People will notice your image.
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#7
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Re: $16: 33 on the Button - Insta-cram?
Forget about image. Even If both players thought you were pushing 50% here and called accordingly this would still be a +EV push.
SB could call 14.5%, BB 5% and you could still push this. I would push this at a $6.5, I would push this at a $16, I would push this in a boat, I would push this with a goat... |
#8
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Re: $16: 33 on the Button - Insta-cram?
I assigned a calling range of 44+,A8s+,KJs+,A8o+,KQo to both of them and SNGPT shows it to have a -$0.74 expectation.
It suggest a push range of something like: 66+,ATo+,A9s+,KQs. If I tighten their ranges to 88+,AJs+,KQs,ATo+, then shoving 33 shows a +$1.07 profit. So, it turns out if they're > 3-to-2 to have the looser range, shoving becomes -EV. I thought it was close at the time, I just started playing these $16s, so maybe I misjudged how loose they would call, but I definetly have seen some very loose calls already. |
#9
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Re: $16: 33 on the Button - Insta-cram?
Why would BB and SB call with the same range? (especially given your reads)
If BB calls you with A8o vs the range you gave then he just lost over $15 in EV. |
#10
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Re: $16: 33 on the Button - Insta-cram?
[ QUOTE ]
Why would BB and SB call with the same range? (especially given your reads) If BB calls you with A8o vs the range you gave then he just lost over $15 in EV. [/ QUOTE ] Because they are bad players and don't care. |
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