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  #1  
Old 07-27-2007, 10:22 PM
yellowbluebus yellowbluebus is offline
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Location: Texas
Posts: 740
Default NL10 - AQo OTB vs a wild player

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.05/$0.10 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $4.15
BB: $10.00
UTG: $2.80
CO: $7.60
Hero (BTN): $11.00

Reads: <font color="blue">Villain is 86/36/2.5 over ~40 hands. No history with him. Is it better vs. an aggressive player to check the turn and induce a bluff on the river? </font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (5 Players)
UTG calls $0.10, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.50</font>, SB folds, BB calls $0.40, UTG folds

Flop: ($1.15) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $0.80</font>, BB calls $0.80

Turn: ($2.75) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $1.70</font>, BB calls $1.70

River: ($6.15) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets all-in for $7.00</font>, Hero folds

Pot Size: $13.15 ($0.30 Rake)
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  #2  
Old 07-27-2007, 10:47 PM
vixticator vixticator is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 3,639
Default Re: NL10 - AQo OTB vs a wild player

Ugh. He is very capable of shoving with air. So what can't you beat that he does not 3-bet? K2, 24, 35, 28, 22, 44, 88, A2, A4, A8. I think he 3-bets 88. Not sure about the Ace hands or 22/44. No idea how often he shoves with air, it is not knowable. No idea how often he shoves with Ax, Kx, etc. without long history which is not possible b/c they go busto 100% of the time in few hands.

There is one possibility that is going to sound like blasphemy. Limp/shove PF. What are his PF raise sizes? I want to keep the pot small and inflate it with monsters. One pair hands facing shove {on river} I would fold.
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  #3  
Old 07-27-2007, 11:06 PM
yellowbluebus yellowbluebus is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Texas
Posts: 740
Default Re: NL10 - AQo OTB vs a wild player

He min 3-bet QQ in SB vs OTB steal. Min bet on a A high flop, and overbet a blank on the turn. From what I can tell this villain likes to overbet the pot especially vs shortstacks with middle pairs no other real draws. His PF raises are 3XBB.
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