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  #1  
Old 07-24-2007, 04:34 PM
billzfan86 billzfan86 is offline
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Default NL 100: draw oop against big pair

Im playing 18/13/6 over 75 hands at the table and the main villian is a very nitty player preflop but uses decent agression post flop (his exact stats are 14/7/3.4 450 hands). He seems like the type of player that only 3 bets with AA/KK. So when I flat call preflop if i hit 2 pair + i lead he raises and i ship it lol but this hand threw me off. I know this guy has over pair (like 99.9% sure hes on aa or kk) so when I check im ready to give up hand but then i think if he can lay down big pair on this board even 30% of the time a raise is definitly +ev given my draws against an over pair.

So what lines do people like here? mainly who raise (and what amount) and who folds here?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($161.30)
Hero ($172.65)
MP1 ($151.35)
MP2 ($51.35)
MP3 ($99)
CO ($98.50)
Button ($100)
SB ($94.10)
BB ($100)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises to $13</font>, MP2 calls $13, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, Hero calls $9.

Flop: ($40.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets $26</font>, MP2 folds, Hero?
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  #2  
Old 07-24-2007, 04:44 PM
jetsetboy jetsetboy is offline
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Default Re: NL 100: draw oop against big pair

A call is not awfull. You can sometimes extract when you hit.

I like a c/rAI here with 100bb effective stack but you are too deep. I would have bet/3betAI given the stack size (with a br that can handdle the variance). I suppose that he can lay down KK most of the time and sometimes AA.

By the way you shouldn't call preflop.
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  #3  
Old 07-24-2007, 04:57 PM
KurtSF KurtSF is offline
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Default Re: NL 100: draw oop against big pair

$9 into $30 while 150BBs deep? Preflop call looks standard.

No FE, as you said yourself. Peel and see what he does.
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  #4  
Old 07-24-2007, 05:10 PM
CalledDownLight CalledDownLight is offline
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Default Re: NL 100: draw oop against big pair

I peel one time. Preflop is def. standard.
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  #5  
Old 07-24-2007, 05:23 PM
RyanCMU RyanCMU is offline
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Default Re: NL 100: draw oop against big pair

If you are going to continue you on the with the hand, I think the following line wil maximize our chances to get him to fold an overpair....

C/C flop, and then open shove any non A or K turn...

This is assuming we don't improve on the turn, if we improve on the turn, Im not sure what I like... It really all depends on how we improve. But I obv. don't like the shove anymore...
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  #6  
Old 07-24-2007, 05:28 PM
bottomset bottomset is offline
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Default Re: NL 100: draw oop against big pair

[ QUOTE ]
Preflop is def. standard.

[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree

I think its pretty ugly, most of the flops you like vs AA are draws anyway
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  #7  
Old 07-24-2007, 05:28 PM
dw2006 dw2006 is offline
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Posts: 476
Default Re: NL 100: draw oop against big pair

[ QUOTE ]
If you are going to continue you on the with the hand, I think the following line wil maximize our chances to get him to fold an overpair....

C/C flop, and then open shove any non A or K turn...

This is assuming we don't improve on the turn, if we improve on the turn, Im not sure what I like... It really all depends on how we improve. But I obv. don't like the shove anymore...

[/ QUOTE ]



I take this line too.
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  #8  
Old 07-24-2007, 05:29 PM
dw2006 dw2006 is offline
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Default Re: NL 100: draw oop against big pair

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Preflop is def. standard.

[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree

I think its pretty ugly

[/ QUOTE ]

They are 150bb deep so its not as bad.
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  #9  
Old 07-24-2007, 05:34 PM
bottomset bottomset is offline
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Default Re: NL 100: draw oop against big pair

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Preflop is def. standard.

[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree

I think its pretty ugly

[/ QUOTE ]

They are 150bb deep so its not as bad.

[/ QUOTE ]

outside of a straight/flush/trips you rarely are far ahead, an overpair is drawing very live vs 2pr

my math sucks but I believe flopping trips+ is like 3% of the time or so, 2pr another ~2%

so like 5% of the time you are way ahead, usually way behind to coinflipping OOP

you probably won't get 150bb in on straight or trip boards, and the times the money goes in when you hit a flush he usually has a 7out draw twice, honestly there aren't that many good spots
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  #10  
Old 07-24-2007, 05:36 PM
effang effang is offline
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Default Re: NL 100: draw oop against big pair

your hand is 50/50 anyways. just take the card, i doubt you're pushing him off overpair since he thinks you hold JJ+ anyways
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