Lead this turn?

Jay_Whufc · #1 07-23-2007, 05:40 AM

Villain 37/9/0.74 over 200 hands.

Should I lead this turn? I doubt he has a flush but do I fold out weaker hands by leading? If I lead and am raised all in and I calling all in giving his AF? Note, we are 200BB deep, for 100BB im prob pushing the turn.

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

Hero (SB): $93.85
BB: $25.00
UTG: $16.30
MP: $23.65
CO: $51.00
BTN: $53.05

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
2 folds, CO raises to $0.50, BTN calls $0.50, Hero raises to $3.00, BB folds, CO calls $2.50, BTN folds

Flop: ($6.75) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero bets $5.50, CO calls $5.50

Turn: ($17.75) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero ???

ton1 · #2 07-23-2007, 05:45 AM

I'd maybe c/c here, take a look at the river, and try to keep the pot small.

Jay_Whufc · #3 07-23-2007, 06:18 AM

Yes, I thought c/c too but what hands can we reasonably expect him to bet given his AF?

dhdell · #4 07-23-2007, 07:56 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Yes, I thought c/c too but what hands can we reasonably expect him to bet given his AF?

[/ QUOTE ]

no, but that is a terrific reason to just check. he bets, you could be beat but give you great odds to draw to teh nut flush. he usually doenst bet though, so you can check here to keep the pot w/o concern he will try to steal the pot .

mvdgaag · #5 07-23-2007, 08:04 AM

c/c. You don't want to scare out a flush/flushdraw. Don't loose more to a made flush than you need to and stack him if another spade comes.

Also I raise a little less preflop... Maybe $2 - $2.5... You will squeeze CO between BTN and you. Since he's the original raiser and BTN has position on him he's more likely to have a hand so you can stack him. We don't want to lose him. This is especially true if you'd have position on the caller, because he'll have more reason to fold as well... In this case, of course, he has position on you.