|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
$22r, facing 2 all ins and a raise
What range do we need to call/shove all in here? No reads on villains..
PokerStars Game #11014955131: Tournament #55433864, $20+$2 Hold'em No Limit - Level XVII (2500/5000) - 2007/07/19 - 01:31:43 (ET) Table '55433864 6' 9-max Seat #7 is the button Seat 1: BKiCe (129448 in chips) Seat 2: TMG101 (99400 in chips) Seat 3: thewh00sel (49644 in chips) Seat 4: bl0wback (147582 in chips) Seat 5: 1GIO (81696 in chips) Seat 6: SCTrojans (27676 in chips) Seat 7: DPainter (58416 in chips) Seat 9: ErickW23 (341719 in chips) BKiCe: posts the ante 500 TMG101: posts the ante 500 thewh00sel: posts the ante 500 bl0wback: posts the ante 500 1GIO: posts the ante 500 SCTrojans: posts the ante 500 DPainter: posts the ante 500 ErickW23: posts the ante 500 ErickW23: posts small blind 2500 BKiCe: posts big blind 5000 *** HOLE CARDS *** TMG101: folds thewh00sel: raises 44144 to 49144 and is all-in bl0wback: folds 1GIO: folds SCTrojans: folds DPainter: raises 8772 to 57916 and is all-in ErickW23: raises 44144 to 102060 BKiCe: ??? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $22r, facing 2 all ins and a raise
AA+
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $22r, facing 2 all ins and a raise
QQ+
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $22r, facing 2 all ins and a raise
AA
equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 35.150% 33.73% 01.42% 13110029757 552518567.67 { KK } Hand 1: 15.780% 15.14% 00.64% 5883634270 249790513.33 { 77+, AJs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo } Hand 2: 21.203% 20.02% 01.18% 7781489961 459995458.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo } Hand 3: 27.867% 25.86% 02.00% 10052791583 779062218.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo } even with KK you have a probability of 33% to drop out - and it's highly likely that someone has AA here. |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $22r, facing 2 all ins and a raise
Why is it so highly likely someone has AA,KK here?
The initial shover has an M of like 4.5, 2nd shover's M is like 5.2 and the raiser is the big stack. These are the ranges I used. thewh00sel: 22+,A8s+,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,A8o+,K9o+,QTo+,JTo Dpainter: 77+,AQo+,AQs+ ErickW123: TT+,AKs,AKo |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $22r, facing 2 all ins and a raise
KK+
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $22r, facing 2 all ins and a raise
[ QUOTE ]
AA equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 35.150% 33.73% 01.42% 13110029757 552518567.67 { KK } Hand 1: 15.780% 15.14% 00.64% 5883634270 249790513.33 { 77+, AJs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo } Hand 2: 21.203% 20.02% 01.18% 7781489961 459995458.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo } Hand 3: 27.867% 25.86% 02.00% 10052791583 779062218.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo } even with KK you have a probability of 33% to drop out - and it's highly likely that someone has AA here. [/ QUOTE ] what do you mean a 33% to drop out? |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $22r, facing 2 all ins and a raise
I'd muck QQ/AK and I'm a retard.
|
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $22r, facing 2 all ins and a raise
[ QUOTE ]
equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 35.150% 33.73% 01.42% 13110029757 552518567.67 { KK } Hand 1: 15.780% 15.14% 00.64% 5883634270 249790513.33 { 77+, AJs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo } Hand 2: 21.203% 20.02% 01.18% 7781489961 459995458.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo } Hand 3: 27.867% 25.86% 02.00% 10052791583 779062218.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo } [/ QUOTE ] ==> Very easy call with KK, not a fold :-S |
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $22r, facing 2 all ins and a raise
Given the sidepots/mainpots/etc the important thing is the big stacks range. If it's JJ+,AK then you should get it in with QQ. If it's tighter don't...I think it isn't tighter so I get my chips in with QQ. Fold AK readless ( [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]). Do not fold KK because its preflop in NLHE.
|
|
|