#1
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simple hand for simple minds
2/4 6max
400 dollar stax dumb unknown raises to 8 on button, i raise to 26 in SB w/AhJh, button calls flop (56): Th 8h 2d i bet 36, button calls turn (128): 3s i check, button bets 71, i go all in |
#2
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Re: simple hand for simple minds
std
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#3
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Re: simple hand for simple minds
Standard. Good for balancing purposes and with the size of the pot and the amount of equity you have he has to fold less than ~20% of the time for the play to be +EV as it stands. If he checks behind you're happy to take the free card.
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#4
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Re: simple hand for simple minds
[ QUOTE ]
to fold less than ~20% of the time for the play to be +EV as it stands [/ QUOTE ] How did you get the number ? I dont want to do full math but here is summary of how it should look like : You have 336$ remaining. If he folds you win 200$ (128+71 more or less) If he calls you lose : 336$ - your equity in final pot = 336$ - 200$ = 136$ (if your equity is as high as 25% which is rpetty optimistic). So you either lose 136$ or win 200$. It looks like you need him to fold about 40% of the time not 20%. |
#5
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Re: simple hand for simple minds
You're right, I didn't use the correct equity we had in the hand. Here's the math when done right (I hope the second time around :S).
Board: Th 8h 3d 2s Hand 0: 67.769% { TT+, 88, ATs, KTs, QTs, Qh9h, J9s+, T9s, 9h7h } Hand 1: 32.231% { AhJh } Pot Size = 128 + 71 = 199 Left to Shove = 400 - 16 - 36 = 348 Final Pot Size = 800 P(fold) = X EV(0) = X(199) + (1-X)(0.32*800-348) X = 32%. With 25% equity we get EV(0) = X(199) + (1-X)(0.25*800-348) X = 43%, like you said. |
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