Value bet possible on this river?

[YanMTL]

Do you think i can value bet the river?

The other player was the worst calling station i ever saw since a long time. When he donked the flop, you can be sure he has a Q in his hand, he can't fold if he has a pair no matter the board or the strenght you showed. We were not bluffing him at all and when we check, he check back a lot. So he never bluff or semi-bluff. At least in the 30 minutes we played.


Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (3 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, A.
Hero raises</font>, 1 fold[/i]</font>, BB calls.

Flop: (4.50 SB) Q, 3, 9 2 players)</font>
BB bets</font>, Hero raises</font>, BB calls.

Turn: (4.25 BB) A 2 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero bets</font>, BB calls.

River: (6.25 BB) 6

[Scary_Tiger]

Very easily.

[brettbrettr]

If he checks the river I'm betting it all day. I don't understand why you gave this long lead-in about his bluffing tendencies when what we're really concerned with is his calling frequency.

[jstill]

most decent flushes donk the river which is why u can vb

[YanMTL]

[ QUOTE ]
most decent flushes donk the river which is why u can vb

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree but can even a calling station call this river without a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]???

I was thinking that even if i bet, he will fold his Q and call only with a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], something like Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] which he won't bet but call with.

Basicaly, i can't see a hand calling my bet here. it is why i wasn't sure if it is an EV+ bet on the river...

[JDalla]

if he is the worst calling station you've ever seen, he will certainly call you any Q there. (assuming you have seens a fair number of calling stations in your day)

[steelbase]

[ QUOTE ]

I agree but can even a calling station call this river without a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]???

[/ QUOTE ]

I consider myself a nit and have a low WTSD, and I've made calls on four flush boards without a flush when I felt it was justified. Against a huge calling station, this is an easy bet here.

[gehrig]

value betting here is bad thsi guy checks tons of better hands to u and even idiots can find folds with like black fours here most of the time

[Scary_Tiger]

[ QUOTE ]
value betting here is bad thsi guy checks tons of better hands to u and even idiots can find folds with like black fours here most of the time

[/ QUOTE ]

You're way off. Like really really really wrong.

[Adebisi]

[ QUOTE ]
value betting here is bad thsi guy checks tons of better hands to u and even idiots can find folds with like black fours here most of the time

[/ QUOTE ]

I've seen idiots call in this spot with hands like J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]