Value of 1/2 Point in Baseball Over/Unders?

[FakeKramer]

Suppose an over/under for a baseball game is 10 (over= -120, under= +110). If you wanted to move the line to 10.5, how much should the over/under lines be shifted?

[Thremp]

Look on Pinny.

[gtrunner57]

In my experience, shifting a line by a half point roughly gives you a little more than 4% difference in odds.

For instance, if you have an over 9.5 and you think there will be 10 or more runs 60% of the time, making it over 10 changes your percentage to now about 55.high. This is based on the fact that it can now hit exactly on 10 and it will be a push instead of a win.

Hope this helps

[King Yao]

off the 10 is about 14 cents. Off other numbers are different.

[King Yao]

Using Pinnacle can be a good start. But sometimes they get it wrong.

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
Using Pinnacle can be a good start. But sometimes they get it wrong.

[/ QUOTE ]

Its a much better places to start unless you're savvy enough to beat their pulldown menus. It appears someone was savvy enough in soccer and raped them bad enough that they pulled the choices for that.

Regardless, if you can do it better than Pinny you are soon to be a rich man.

[playersare]

odd numbered MLB totals are worth more than even numbers because of the high percentage of one run games.

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
odd numbered MLB totals are worth more than even numbers because of the high percentage of one run games.

[/ QUOTE ]

And when the game is tied... Its always on a even number.

[lotus guardian]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Using Pinnacle can be a good start. But sometimes they get it wrong.

[/ QUOTE ]

Its a much better places to start unless you're savvy enough to beat their pulldown menus. It appears someone was savvy enough in soccer and raped them bad enough that they pulled the choices for that.

Regardless, if you can do it better than Pinny you are soon to be a rich man.

[/ QUOTE ]

What's this pulldown menu in soccer you speak of? Do other books have this?