I'm semibluffing

[Nielsio]

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $29.00
BB: $100.00
Hero (UTG): $153.05
MP: $156.15
CO: $16.60
BTN: $93.60

Preflop: Hero is dealt T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
Hero calls $1.00, <font color="red">MP raises to $4.50</font>, CO calls $4.50, 3 folds, Hero calls $3.50

Flop: ($15) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $11.00</font>, MP calls $11.00, CO folds

Turn: ($37) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $29.00</font>


Villain is 25/23/13.5/212, sn 'Clevernickname'.

Plan for possible river?

[Casper05]

he is 2p2, I think i check this turn because I think he will check behind a lot and when he doesnt kaboom I raise.

[Casper05]

also I'd make my turn bet 33 if I bet- I think that or c/r would rep a set the best.

[Nielsio]

I think turn c/r would represent a draw a lot.

Also I think a turn check makes him check behind his weak hands, like JJ or Qx.

[Jay Riall]

Raise preflop wtf. I'd just fire again and watch him fold anything but QJ+.

[AceHiStation]

First off - not sure if anyone will remember me, but I'm back from a bit of a poker hiatus... and hopefully will continue posting in SSNL/MHNL for a bit to get my game back.

Anyways, I really dislike leading this flop. My goal is to get as much money into the pot on the flop while you're open-ender/flush draw is still ahead. The issue with your line is that when you miss the turn you're stuck as you've committed too much money into the pot and you're likely behind. I'm looking to checkraise BIG on the flop and I also think you're pushing villain off rags way too often here.

-Ace

[2Paul2]

Post is fine. Pre no likey.

100bbs I like a turn c/r all in as long as you balance w/ sets.

Paul

[Nielsio]

I usually don't pre like this, but table conditions were right.

[Dire]

I think this is a perfect spot for a flop CR. He likely cbets this board extremely often and you may sandwich CO in for an extra bet. And if he checks then CO, depending on reads, is probably betting a very wide range as well. You often just end up taking down a very healthy sized pot.

As played, bet the turn larger. If he calls and the draws bust on the river, give up. He's gotta know it's a perfect spot to pick off busted draws, and it's unclear how much of his own range is a draw.

[Jay Riall]

Paul - I really hate a turn check/raise with 66.

Nielsio - what made table conditions good for this? Why not just make a standard open raise?