(100NL) - You're kidding!? I'm beat here!?

DawnToDusk · #1 07-08-2007, 11:48 PM

Ahhhhh I don't know if I butchered this hand or what. I was so confused about what to do. Here are the players stats that are important:

UTG player has stats of 60/16/2.4 over 135. Hes just a huge donk and is going to the river a ton. BB player has stats of 37/8/.8 over 55 and is pretty passive. Misses value bets and the likes.

Absolute Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $39
UTG+1: $73.50
CO: $50
Button: $18.10
Hero: $120.25
BB: $115.95

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
UTG raises to $3, 2 folds, Button calls, Hero raises to $13.5, BB calls, UTG calls, Button folds.

Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($43.5, 3 players)
Hero bets $26, BB calls, UTG folds.

Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($95.5, 2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $70, Hero ???

What could vill have here? After an UTG raise, a call and a reraise he just cold calls. So sick. I don't know how he plays his small and mid pocket pairs but I sure don't think he would this way. He is missing value bets and stuff and seems to think that his opponent "always" has him unless he has a really strong hand. So does that mean he has JJ+ or some other sick hand like ATs/KTs? I guess he could have 77 also but it seems like a hand that had a Tx or 77 would definitely value bet in this spot instead of shove. I don't think he plays a spade draw like this either. It is a small sample size but his stats say he wouldn't. Ughhhhhh Im going insane. Comments appreciated everywhere.

spaceballs · #2 07-09-2007, 12:05 AM

call; then watch villan flop j 10

spyderracing · #3 07-09-2007, 12:14 AM

nice stack-a-donk

DawnToDusk · #4 07-09-2007, 12:16 AM

What hand range do you have him on?

The.Accountant · #5 07-09-2007, 12:18 AM

If your read on BB is correct I would just fold here.

even without the read you beat only a bluff or maybe a spewtard with spades or something

DawnToDusk · #6 07-09-2007, 12:23 AM

Okay. If I had just given you his stats what would you do? I just feel like I am going to have some nightmares tonight. =(

_TKO_ · #7 07-09-2007, 12:27 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Okay. If I had just given you his stats what would you do? I just feel like I am going to have some nightmares tonight. =(

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd bet the turn.

spyderracing · #8 07-09-2007, 12:27 AM

[ QUOTE ]
If your read on BB is correct I would just fold here.

even without the read you beat only a bluff or maybe a spewtard with spades or something

[/ QUOTE ] The guy cold called a 3-bet pf oop. I think there is a very small range of hands he can be on here and we have good equity against those. I say he's on TT+/AK, heavily favoring QQ/JJ.

Worm75 · #9 07-09-2007, 12:31 AM

Don't fool yourself, sample size is really small, but from what you've seen he plays passive and misses value....

I don't see him showing up with any hand that contains a T here, unless he flopped Quads, not with the UTG raiser still to act behind him.

He might show up with 77 here, but I lean a lot more to JJ/AA here in this spot with the way that he has played this hand. He smoothcalls with JJ for obvious reasons, but a lot of times donks will slowplay a hand like AA here in the hope of bringing along more money.

But like the Accountant said you only beat a bluff here, so time to fold and move on.

The.Accountant · #10 07-09-2007, 12:32 AM

I was going to say to bet the turn, but then when I looked at the stacks I saw taht you couldnt get away from the hand after that...but now that I see that he did CC a 3-bet, I do think that QQ-JJ are in his range, as are AA and sets when he calls the flop.

c/f here is very weeak and he could havea lot of crap, so I think an open shove is right on the turn now.