#1
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4/180 - All in on a OESD
Villain was 25/1/0 over 12, had been raising from the button/CO in both orbits I'd been at the table with him.
I had been playing very tight and somewhat aggressive. I planned to reraise him with ATC if tried to steal and was surprised when he called. With that flop and given pot size relative to my stack I go AI because I think folding equity & my 8 outs (or maybe more) makes it +eV. At the time I didn't bother putting him on a range but now I think a lot of his potential holdings have hit on that flop. Thoughts? PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (8 handed) internettexasholdem.com SB (t6640) Hero (t6393) UTG (t13296) UTG+1 (t4860) MP1 (t3285) MP2 (t12695) CO (t3279) Button (t9145) Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t600</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t1800</font>, Button calls t1200. Flop: (t3700) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t4593 (All-In)</font> |
#2
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Re: 4/180 - All in on a OESD
If your re stealing pre flop I'd shove rather than pop to 1800. You left a big stack calling 1200 into 2500.
As played he flop shove is fine. |
#3
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Re: 4/180 - All in on a OESD
Lol. Played well. Reraise to 2000-2200 preflop.
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#4
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Re: 4/180 - All in on a OESD
A stack size of 6.3K facing a 600 raise is a very crappy size to resteal with. Whether you shove or make some standard raise to ~2.2K your committed to getting all your chips in preflop, which makes the risk:reward ratio fairly bad. Therefore, I prefer to just call preflop (I'd shove with a 4K stack).
As played the flop is an easy shove, his range is still pretty wide since by trippling the bet you gave him over 2-1 to call in position, I think he calls it fairly light. So he's folding to a shove on that flop >>>>>30% of the time, which is enough to make it +EV |
#5
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Re: 4/180 - All in on a OESD
Raise to 2k-2.2k. That will get more folds and when called set up 80%-pot size bet on the flop. As played your push was kind of an over shove which looks weak/drawish.
Since your stack is abit to big for a push pf and a re-raise practically forces you to plan for stacks if you go to the flop I would probably call pf and take it from there. Once you flop the OESD you should play it aggressively. Stacks would be good for a lead bet/three bet AI or you could check raise. |
#6
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Re: 4/180 - All in on a OESD
You pot equity is at least 32%. You are risking 4600 to win 4600+pot which requires 55% equity. So you need 23% fold equity. Your Q and J may be outs. Given his position raise, I think this is a good play.
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#7
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Re: 4/180 - All in on a OESD
given this situation, i would do it
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