NL100...AA, turn decision..should I commit my stack?

[.KeviN.]

<font color="blue">Very nitty line by me. Villian is 19/12/2 WTSD 23 after 3k datamined hands. I just sat down. </font>

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP ($38.60)
CO ($143.65)
Hero ($98.50)</font>
SB ($123.65)</font>
BB ($50.75)
UTG ($109.75)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, A.
2 folds</font>, CO raises to $3.5</font>, Hero raises to $12</font>, SB calls $11.50, i]1 fold[/i]</font>, CO folds.

Flop: ($28.50) 2, Q, 4 (2 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero bets $20</font>, SB calls $20.

Turn: ($68.50) J (2 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero checks.

River: ($68.50) 4(2 players)</font>
SB bets $42</font>, Hero calls $42.

Final Pot: $152.50

<font color="blue">I mean what's really his range here? I'm thinking AA,KK, or QQ. At the time after the turn hit I was considering JJ but then the flop doesn't make sense. I didn't bet the turn bc that basically commits my stack and what hands is he calling with that I beat other than MAYBE AQ. What do you think? </font>

[mertzo]

I dont mind that line at all

[Stefan_K]

I play the same, no reason to bet the turn

[CappyAA]

Meh, I think I get it all in regardless here in a reraised pot.

I don't mind the turn check at all to push a river. But, you have about a PSB on the turn left. Just overpush his river bet. You'll get called by anything that isn't AK there as it's only $25 more for villain to call.

[good_gamble]

I shove river here too

[.KeviN.]

Yea I was thinking that if I was gonna call the riv I might as well shove, but then I figured it's still 26bbs and I'm not sure about my hand.

[Roadstar]

Nice hand. I'd expect 19/12 to 4 bet AA/KK

His 3 bet call range is very narrow - like QQ/JJ, AK and not very likely AQs

AK doesn't make sense for flop action, and you only beat AQs (which is already unlikely to begin with)

[ReptileHouse]

Grunch.

I think you played it perfectly. His range for that CC is pretty much TT+, AK, maybe even more restrictive than that. On that turn, you're WA/WB. Getting to showdown with one more bet going in is perfect.

Hopefully he had KK.

[Poker_is_Hard]

[ QUOTE ]
Grunch.

I think you played it perfectly. His range for that CC is pretty much TT+, AK, maybe even more restrictive than that. On that turn, you're WA/WB. Getting to showdown with one more bet going in is perfect.

Hopefully he had KK.

[/ QUOTE ]

[1gotth3nuts]

villain plays AQ exactly that way - he'll check the river sometimes, but the other times he'll bet like he did. he doesnt expect that you have much - he thinks u have AK or pocket pair...

I call all day, and pushing is fine too

nice line