tough spot vs willw9

[Fly]

Villain is willw9, he runs about 23/20/3.5/500. The times I've been at the table with him I've played pretty tight (17/13 ish). We don't have any history (I don't think) and I doubt he knew I was a 2p2r.

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $38.25
BB: $202.00
UTG: $43.00
MP: $200.00
Hero (CO): $197.00
BTN: $336.55

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG folds, MP calls $2.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $9.00</font>, BTN calls $9.00, SB folds, BB calls $7.00, MP calls $7.00

Flop: ($37) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4 Players)
BB checks, MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $28.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $106.00</font>, folded to me,

thoughts?

[Imrahil]

He either has 33 or some draw that you're 50/50 against. He's running good so I fold.

[Suwalski]

I fold. Not confident with stacking of with one pair only and a J-high kicker...

[jonyy6788]

[ QUOTE ]
I fold. Not confident with stacking of with one pair only and a J-high kicker...

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think he ever has AQ or AK here, but maybe I'm wrong.

[Suwalski]

AQ and AK are unlikely, but they are indeed a part of his range. Maybe it's just me being weak, but i doubt that he will reraise anything that we beat this hard in this particular situation.

[steel108]

This isn't a tough spot at all. Fold. If he is bluffing, whatever, your hand just can't stand pressure. It smells like 3-3 bc who in their right mind wouldn't repop an iso raiser with J-10, A-K, or A-Q.

[tannenj]

Board: 3s Qd As
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 27.980% 26.89% 01.09% 2130 86.00 { AdJh }
Hand 1: 72.020% 70.93% 01.09% 5618 86.00 { 33, A3s, KsQs, QsJs, JsTs }

i don't think he has AQ/AK much. perhaps a bare flush draw (lower connected spades) is possible.

[Imrahil]

[ QUOTE ]
Board: 3s Qd As
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 27.980% 26.89% 01.09% 2130 86.00 { AdJh }
Hand 1: 72.020% 70.93% 01.09% 5618 86.00 { 33, A3s, KsQs, QsJs, JsTs }

i don't think he has AQ/AK much. perhaps a bare flush draw (lower connected spades) is possible.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks for the pokerstove, didn't know he's that far behind.

[Federer20]

this fold is so standard

[johnnyrocket]

super easy fold, will is making this play with a set cuz he is hoping u have the ace or a monster draw to push u off ur hand when its almost 50/50. I fold this against him all day long