#1
|
|||
|
|||
PS $6.5 - Odds to try to draw to a boat?
Weird hand
PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t30 (9 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com UTG (t1760) UTG+1 (t1510) MP1 (t1410) MP2 (t1730) MP3 (t1465) CO (t1280) Hero (t1455) SB (t1490) BB (t1400) Preflop: Hero is in Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] UTG calls t30, UTG+1 calls t30, MP1 calls t30, MP2 calls t30, <font color="gray">MP3 folds</font>, <font color="gray">CO folds</font>, Hero calls t30, SB calls t15, BB checks Flop: (t210) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (7 players) SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">UTG bets t30</font>, UTG+1 calls t30, <font color="gray">MP1 folds</font>, MP2 calls t30, Hero calls t30, <font color="gray">SB folds</font>, BB calls t30 Turn: (t360) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 players) BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="red">UTG+1 bets t90</font>, MP2 calls t90, Hero calls t90, <font color="gray">BB folds</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to t180</font>, UTG+1 calls t90, <font color="gray">MP2 folds</font>, Hero calls t90 The limp pre-flop might be questionable, but with so many limpers behind and position, I thought it might not be bad. On the flop, I'm getting 9:1 odds on my call - should I fold here? On the turn, I'm getting 5.5:1 from straight-up pot odds on the bet and then 15:2 on the raise. Odds against filling up are 21:2 (46 cards left, 4 of which will fill me up). However, other two players almost certainly have good flushes and the money is likely to go in on the river, so if I do fill up, I can very likely triple up. Are the implied odds good enough here to call the turn? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: PS $6.5 - Odds to try to draw to a boat?
Sticky hand, i think you save alot of trouble by folding preflop. As played i call the flop and fold the turn. You have 4 outs and you dont get 1 to 11.5 on your money.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: PS $6.5 - Odds to try to draw to a boat?
Btw, non spade 9 on turn and you can call turn and call a non spade river. Dont get too excited over 2 pairs here, just make it cheap.
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: PS $6.5 - Odds to try to draw to a boat?
Fold the turn
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: PS $6.5 - Odds to try to draw to a boat?
Pot before I call pre-flop is 195.
Pot before I call $30 bet on flop is 300 (10:1 odds - miscalculated in OP) Pot before I call $90 bet on turn is 540. (6:1 odds) Pot before I call raise on turn is 900. (10:1 odds) 21:2 odds against making a full house means I need to make more than 945 after filling up to have positive expected value. All that means is that I'll get a little more than a min bet from one of the two on the river if I fill up. |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: PS $6.5 - Odds to try to draw to a boat?
Just based on the pot odds it looks like a call, but 4 other callers on the flop makes me suspect some of your outs are gonne. I think I'd fold.
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: PS $6.5 - Odds to try to draw to a boat?
fold pf
|
|
|