Easy River Call?

[mdkrahn]

Villain is 15/10/2.4


Cryptologic
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $546.72
CO: $199
Hero: $309.30
SB: $81
BB: $293.59

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $8</font>, CO folds, Hero calls, 2 folds.

Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($19, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $15</font>, Hero calls.

Turn: 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($49, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $35</font>, Hero calls.

River: 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($119, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $70</font>, Hero??


Given villain, river he has air or JJ+ right?

[Keyser.]

easy fold if stats are reliable

[True]

fold the turn,

nice hand though. Turn is marginal but the river is an easy fold.

[mdkrahn]

stats are reliable.


wouldn't he fire this turn with pretty much 88+?

[True]

[ QUOTE ]
stats are reliable.


wouldn't he fire this turn with pretty much 88+?

[/ QUOTE ]

18 combos vs 25 if we have only pairs, so its a breakeven call. We can add AK sometimes, I think there is some reverse implied odds here if you are thinking of calling here, you may sometimes get bluffed off the river with a worse hand etc.

[mdkrahn]

[ QUOTE ]

18 combos vs 25 if we have only pairs, so its a breakeven call. We can add AK sometimes, I think there is some reverse implied odds here if you are thinking of calling here, you may sometimes get bluffed off the river with a worse hand etc.

[/ QUOTE ]


nice.

thanks for explaining.

[Fonkey123]

True is a good poster, when he decides to grace SSNL [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[DaCooler]

ya i think this is very player dependent, against an unknown i think i would probably call here and see if hes willing to play 99 1010 like this, i think most would check call the river with 99 or 1010 dont you think? This is exactly why i 3-bet this hand in position most of the time, you just really have NO idea where you stand, if you 3 bet and get pushed on pre or on the flop then you know your probably beat against a solid player, obviously if its a donk then adjust

[cbloom]

mmm you gotta call turn but I guess you can fold river.

Guys like this DO triple barrel once in a while, but not enough to make calling profitable unless you have a read.

[True]

[ QUOTE ]
True is a good poster, when he decides to grace SSNL [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

I will be posting a bit more,