200MAX facing river value bet?

[dmoney]

No history, i just sat down at table.

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $26.20
BB: $10.41
<font color="black">Hero (UTG): $208.02</font>
MP: $258.92
CO: $162.68
BTN: $249.36

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $8.00</font>, MP calls $8.00, CO folds, BTN calls $8.00, SB folds, <font color="red">BB raises all-in to $10.41</font>, Hero calls $2.41, MP calls $2.41, BTN calls $2.41

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($42.64) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 Players - 1 All-In)
Hero checks, MP checks, BTN checks

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($42.64) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 Players - 1 All-In)
<font color="red">Hero bets $21.00</font>, MP folds, BTN calls $21.00

<font color="black">River:</font> ($84.64) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players - 1 All-In)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $40.00</font>, Hero?

[dirtytricks]

He has you beat most of the time, but its close. He doesnt valuebet a better K I think since AK reraises pre probably.
Looks like the flush and not like a missed draw cause of bet size.

I call at the table, but I think it is a fold.

[matt85]

Its tricky but I would value/block bet the river for about 30-40 or so.

As played I probably call, you hand is a little under-repped and he could be betting a turned and then whiffed draw i.e QTc etc or A4c sort of hand. Surely he would have bet flush draw on flop? He also probably raises turn with set on that board and RR's AK preflop. Also think he might bet KJ on that flop given the action.

I think getting 3-1 you can probably call profitably here although its quite thin.

[dirtytricks]

[ QUOTE ]
Its tricky but I would value/block bet the river for about 30-40 or so.

As played I probably call, you hand is a little under-repped and he could be betting a turned and then whiffed draw i.e QTc etc or A4c sort of hand. Surely he would have bet flush draw on flop? He also probably raises turn with set on that board and RR's AK preflop. Also think he might bet KJ on that flop given the action.

I think getting 3-1 you can probably call profitably here although its quite thin.

[/ QUOTE ]

Its a protected pot man. He is not valuebetting thin. Its a valuebet or a bluff.

[matt85]

Good point.

Its a fold.

[dmoney]

THe reason i folded was becasue there was someone all in and i didnt think hed donk off when i get to see his hand.

If it was HU i probably would have called.