10/20 NL SH- Odd river spot

[Daliman]

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $10/$20 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $380.00
BB: $2,187.70
UTG: $2,931.00
MP: $2,137.00
CO: $2,147.00
<font color="black">Daliman (BTN): $1,840.00</font>

<font color="black">Reads: </font><font color="blue">Opponent has been running 26/17, hasn't really been getting out of line, I am about same overall this table.</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Daliman is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $70.00</font>, CO folds, Daliman calls $70.00, 2 folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($170) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">MP bets $120.00</font>, Daliman calls $120.00

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($410) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks, <font color="red">Daliman bets $280.00</font>, MP calls $280.00

<font color="black">River:</font> ($970) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">MP bets $640.00</font>, Daliman ???

[Ship Ship McGipp]

call

[Chaostracize]

This doesn't really seem odd at all to me. With history I'll push for value. Otherwise you call.

[Daliman]

[ QUOTE ]
This doesn't really seem odd at all to me. With history I'll push for value. Otherwise you call.

[/ QUOTE ]
Hands that go bet/check/call/bet out vs me come once or twice a month, tops, so far me, it's odd.

What hands can he realistically be betting into me with here that I can shove profitably vs?

FWIW, he took about 15 seconds before he bet.

[Chaostracize]

Then he has KK, so you just call.

[Daliman]

[ QUOTE ]
Then he has KK, so you just call.

[/ QUOTE ]
I think AK is FAR more likely here.

[mperich]

u seem to know what is going on in this hand, so i dont know what ur asking. are you asking if you should fold? cuz you shouldnt

-Mike

[Daliman]

[ QUOTE ]
u seem to know what is going on in this hand, so i dont know what ur asking. are you asking if you should fold? cuz you shouldnt

-Mike

[/ QUOTE ]

It just seems like a case where he is going to be actually bluffing so seldom that even getting over 2.5-1 may be a fold spot here. I can't see him vbetting KJ here, as I can't see him calling turn with it as there are no other draws, and any other 2 pair I figure I hear from on the turn, so this seems like AK an inordinate amount of time. In spots like this should I just go with the math and move on, forgetting about reads, or should I trust my reads if I have had success with them?

[cheet]

It sounds like there's an answer you want to hear. I just call here, I don't see any worse hands calling a raise so it's not worth the risk.

If you're trying to talk yourself into a fold, I don't like it. He could be making a blocking-bet with an A or KJ.

[AcidKnight]

This seems to be a straight forward call.

Maybe it's even some weird blocker/value bet with AQ?