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  #1  
Old 06-09-2007, 09:40 PM
T3rminator4 T3rminator4 is offline
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Default Almost Royal flush

2 hole

then

2/3 on flop

then 0/2 turn river. What were my chances of getting it turn or river?
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  #2  
Old 06-09-2007, 10:32 PM
FingerEleven FingerEleven is offline
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Default Re: Almost Royal flush

slim & none
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  #3  
Old 06-10-2007, 12:06 AM
KenProspero KenProspero is offline
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Default Re: Almost Royal flush

Well, as the deck was shuffled -- 0%, of course.

However, assuming no read at all as to any of the opps cards:

There's a rule for estimation, If there are two cards to come, multiply your outs by 4% to figure out the probability (the rule of 4) so, in this case it's about 4%.

If there's only one card to come, multiply by 2% instead.

If you need some more precision,

After the flop, you've seen 5 cards, so there are 47 unseen cards, one of which gives you the royal. After the Turn (if you haven't hit your royal), there are 46 unseen cards.

I 'think' the math here is: 1-((46/47)*(45/56)) or about 4.2553%

Rule of 4 works for me, though.
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