25NL- Push turn with JJ?

youthies · #1 06-06-2007, 10:46 PM

Villain is 16/10/3.7 over 90 hands. Is this turn push (well, nearly) good?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($21.70)
UTG ($5.85)
MP ($27.30)
CO ($32.35)
Hero ($31.30)
SB ($25.35)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, MP raises to $1, 1 fold, Hero raises to $3.5, 2 folds, MP calls $2.50.

Flop: ($7.35) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $5.2, MP calls $5.20.

Turn: ($17.75) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $16.5, MP raises to $18.6, Hero calls $2.10.

River: ($54.95) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)

Final Pot: $54.95

homeslice · #2 06-06-2007, 10:51 PM

why is your turn bet so large?(if you' re going to bet that large, just shove)

youthies · #3 06-06-2007, 10:53 PM

I was running low on time.
So pushing here would be good?

NoPoHustler · #4 06-06-2007, 10:55 PM

[ QUOTE ]
why is your turn bet so large?(if you' re going to bet that large, just shove)

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed^^^^

Kvetchie · #5 06-06-2007, 11:00 PM

somehow I'm getting the feeling that you're already against a set or AA/KK. And the pot is so big that both are probably committed. If he checks to you I'd just check and see what's the deal..

16/10/3.7 raising preflop and reraising turn: set or AA/KK. Well, that's what I think at least [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Depends on Heros table image too ofc

(edit: fixed a typo)

TNPhoenix · #6 06-06-2007, 11:03 PM

Those stats are pretty TAG over 90 hands. Too much action for JJ. He clearly looks like he had no problem getting it AI on the turn and it looks like he was letting you lead no problem. He's got a set or AA I would think and is letting you hang yourself. I could be way off there. What have your stats been at the table so far? And your table image?

Someone else chime in here [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

C4LL4W4Y · #7 06-06-2007, 11:04 PM

No way, he's gotta bet this turn for value and it's going leave MP committed to the pot regardless, which means he's pretty much getting all in.

C4LL4W4Y · #8 06-06-2007, 11:06 PM

All of these things don't really matter, villain called on a drawy flop in a RR flop. His potential hand combinations are practically endless, which means you should bet turn.

NoPoHustler · #9 06-06-2007, 11:07 PM

The only hand I could put villain on here that you could beat is pocket 10's but you are pretty committed as well so this may be just a cooler...

ActionStan · #10 06-06-2007, 11:11 PM

[ QUOTE ]
No way, he's gotta bet this turn for value and it's going leave MP committed to the pot regardless, which means he's pretty much getting all in.

[/ QUOTE ]

Given the stack sizes, there is no way you're getting away from this. Shove 'em in there and don't look back.