Can I pleeease bluff here?

[Fiksdal]

Pleeeeease?

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $38.65
<font color="black">Hero (BB): $32.10</font>
UTG: $14.30
CO: $27.40
BTN: $22.65

<font color="black">Reads: </font><font color="blue">Villain is 33/23/5 over 30 hands. WTSD 18%.

I\'ve been running 30/19/3, but have never been involved with villain before.</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 Players)
3 folds, <font color="red">SB raises to $0.75</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2.65</font>, SB calls $1.90

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($5.30) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $5.00</font>, SB calls $5.00

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($15.30) A (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

<font color="black">River:</font> ($15.30) 8 (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $12.00</font>

Good? I just could not let this go. That doesn't mean the bluff is +EV though. Thoughts?

[Zychion]

Can you bluff? It'd be rude not to. He can find a fold with less than top two. I love plays like this, although my bankroll strongly disagrees.

[kazana]

You know that villain won't lay down any K here, right? IMO that turn check turns your draw face up. But that doesn't necessarily mean that villain knows that.
I can only see him fold a missed draw. Heck, he'd probably even call with a solid 8x here.

He is very tight at showdown, so I'd be tempted, too. But then you'll have to be sure you haven't been 3betting light. Some villains just turn into sheriff mode if you're too wild preflop.

[bozzer]

I would prefer to two barrel the turn rather than bluff the river.

you've shown a lot of strength on the flop (PSB in RR pot), so I think he must have a decent king at least to be hanging on here. I'm not crazy about a river bluff therefore. People do play quite differently in BvB situations, if you have a read this might be ok.

[prodonkey]

I call you with a lot of crap if you check the turn behind when the A hits. Obviously you didn't like it, or you're slowplaying. But why would you slowplay with the flush draw there. So it's kind of a nuts or nothing hand. He's probably going to look you up with any A, or K.
Only way this is going to be good is if he was on the flush draw too.

[DrazzicEhv]

Is it just me who has folded this hand preflop?

[prodonkey]

I really don't see the purpose of preflop either.. you've got 6 high, but I was neglecting that point

[Skleice]

[ QUOTE ]
that turn check turns your draw face up.


[/ QUOTE ]

I agree. I'm not convinced about the hand you're repping. I also dump this preflop...very weak hand.

[Sober]

I have a sticky note by my monitor that reads:

"BLUFFING AT 25NL IS -EV!!!!"

[bozzer]

yeh i ignored pf, I assume hero had a plan...