100NL (deep), KK overpair facing river shove

[netstorm]

call or fold? And what range are we putting villain on ?
And how is my turn bet size?

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 4 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $98.50
BB: $154.65
UTG: $255.60
<font color="black">Hero (BTN): $163.31</font>

<font color="black">Reads: </font><font color="blue">Villain is a 50/28/2.4 over 40 hands</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $4.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $14.00</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls $10.00

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($29.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $26.00</font>, UTG calls $26.00

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($81.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $40.00</font>, UTG calls $40.00

<font color="black">River:</font> ($161.50) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets all-in for $175.60</font>, Hero ???

[Sirasoni]

I think this is a clear fold w/o some extraordinary read. Flushes got there, and there's absolutely no way any lone pair is making this shove unless it's a weird QQ.

[lag0n]

I would usually check turn behind. Your weak bet looks scared and you may have just induced a bluff.

I think there's a decent chance this type of villain is just trying to push you off your hand. If the villain has done some crazy plays in the past I would definitely call. Well.. I would probably call anyway since his line doesn't make much sense. I think he has air here often enough.

I also raise a bit more preflop (to 16-20) since the stacks are this deep and the villain is so loose.

[lag0n]

I guess he could have JhJx. Btw hero has about 83 left and the pot is somewhere near 250 so thats 3-to-1 odds. I like making hero calls so I would probably do it but I'm not sure it's good advice...

[futuredoc85]

yuck you cant fold getting 3:1 IMO. he can still have a 9 w/ the A/K/Qh, he can still have 65s, and you only have to be good 1/4 of the time.