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  #1  
Old 05-29-2007, 02:16 PM
Romanis Romanis is offline
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Default NL25 Set on the river in trouble?

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $11.47
BB: $20.05
UTG: $23.85
MP: $37.17
villain (CO): $72.62
<font color="black">Hero (BTN): $46.70</font>

<font color="black">Reads: </font><font color="blue">Villain is 16/13/5 (37 Hands)
AF is so high because he had several good hands and got them all-in against worse hands.</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">villain raises to $1.00</font>, Hero calls $1.00, SB calls $0.90, BB folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($3.25) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, villain checks, Hero checks

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($3.25) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, villain checks, Hero checks

<font color="black">River:</font> ($3.25) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">villain bets $2.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $6.00</font>, SB folds, <font color="red">villain raises to $20.00</font>
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  #2  
Old 05-29-2007, 02:18 PM
djstu djstu is offline
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Default Re: NL25 Set on the river in trouble?

I call here.

I think we see badly played overcards like AA/KK more often than a set or A3. Or possibly a horrendously played pair.

I don't like it though.
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  #3  
Old 05-29-2007, 02:21 PM
Maneh Maneh is offline
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Default Re: NL25 Set on the river in trouble?

I shove here all-day; If he had A3, rebuy [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]
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  #4  
Old 05-29-2007, 02:38 PM
Suaimhnea Suaimhnea is offline
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Default Re: NL25 Set on the river in trouble?

I'm folding against a range of 88, TT and AA. I don't ever see AK here and JJ-KK leads most of the time on these flops and nearly 100% of these turns.
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  #5  
Old 05-29-2007, 02:58 PM
CobraGoat CobraGoat is offline
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Default Re: NL25 Set on the river in trouble?

easy call. i think you are vulnerable enough that a call is better than a shove. but i think villains range here is wide enough for the call to be fairly profitable. if you lost, my guess is 67s or set Ts.
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  #6  
Old 05-29-2007, 02:59 PM
ozerhall ozerhall is offline
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Default Re: NL25 Set on the river in trouble?

call river bet due to the fact that he could easily have two pair... i dont see a reason to raise here though.... you do not know what he has.... next time by calling it is a lot easier and you dont get urself in tough spots..
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  #7  
Old 05-29-2007, 03:19 PM
Romanis Romanis is offline
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Default Re: NL25 Set on the river in trouble?

Would he really 3-bet a two-pair that high when two straights are possible? Villain didn't seem to be very fishy.
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  #8  
Old 05-29-2007, 03:23 PM
jessyj07 jessyj07 is offline
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Default Re: NL25 Set on the river in trouble?

There's actually 3 straights possible but 36 is almost out of the question. I expect to be beaten here a good deal of the time. Pushing is terrible advice given how deep the stacks are. I don't think I even call the 3 bet on the river.
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  #9  
Old 05-29-2007, 03:26 PM
ozerhall ozerhall is offline
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Default Re: NL25 Set on the river in trouble?

hero has passively checked down to the river... villain would not expect hero to hit a set on the river or have anything.... this is my reasoning for two pair raising on river.
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  #10  
Old 05-30-2007, 10:47 AM
Suaimhnea Suaimhnea is offline
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Default Re: NL25 Set on the river in trouble?

Regardless of how disguised this set is, what two pair could the villian possibly have given his numbers and preflop action? 25/45/T8 are highly unlikely.
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