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#1
05-26-2007, 05:21 PM
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200/400 6789 8b
the game is playing pretty tight on 3rd/pf but very loose after that.
when he reraises 3rd I figure he either has ax4, qq/kk-4 or a 3flush. xx-2-bringin-raise xx-3-fold xx-q-fold 78-6-complete-call xx-9-fold xx-9-fold xx-3-fold xx-9-fold 7869-call xx4a-bet 78693-call xx4a3-bet 78693q-call xx4a3a-bet when do I dump this? 
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#2
05-26-2007, 06:18 PM
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Re: 200/400 6789 8b
Wait, so does he bring-in with a 2 or a 4? Either way I'll assume he's the BI since you said he reraised you.
I'd probably let this go on 5th especially if they're playing tight on 3rd. I definitely dump it on 6th. Your low draw is dubious and you *need* to hit the straight to win half the pot.
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#5
05-27-2007, 01:28 AM
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Re: 200/400 6789 8b
[ QUOTE ]
It seems a shame to fold when you've caught the case Nine, but I think that fourth, fifth, and sixth are all folds. [/ QUOTE ] I have to think 4th is a peel with all his straight cards live. Granted most any other card will make the hand pretty tricky, especially if Villain bricks.
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#6
05-27-2007, 02:37 AM
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Re: 200/400 6789 8b
[ QUOTE ]
It seems a shame to fold when you've caught the case Nine, but I think that fourth, fifth, and sixth are all folds. [/ QUOTE ] Man, if you're goin to dump this on 4th, you should probably dump it on 3rd.
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#8
05-29-2007, 08:02 PM
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Re: 200/400 6789 8b
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] It seems a shame to fold when you've caught the case Nine, but I think that fourth, fifth, and sixth are all folds. [/ QUOTE ] Man, if you're goin to dump this on 4th, you should probably dump it on 3rd. [/ QUOTE ] except he doesnt know that he is going to be heads up on 3rd.
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#9
05-29-2007, 09:00 PM
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Re: 200/400 6789 8b
Or that the bring-in likes his hand enough to raise. Stealing into a bunch of Nines on third in a tight, high-ante game seems pretty automatic, even with a couple of low cards left.
After dinking around on twodimes some, we're not in as bad shape as I had thought on fourth. I'd still fold fifth.
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#10
05-30-2007, 09:46 PM
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Re: 200/400 6789 8b
on fifth: if the opponents' hand ranges really are relatively tight on 3rd then it becomes a neutral EV call i think. a two way hand is coin flip favorite against a buried overpair on fifth and anything else (two pairs, pair + low draw) is pretty much callable on pot odds. the only hand that is wrong to call against is a wheel made in five.
but on sixth i don't think you can fade that; your opponent is looking at a sweet freeroll w/open aces and a probable low made, a nasty 9:1 dog. against aces up, your hand is a 4:1 dog. at worse he has open aces and a low draw and two dimes says you're 3:1 dog. so given your description of tight pregame conditions and range, folding seems correct. also, there needs to be a haircut/discount on him having one of your fives.
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