nl100 - bottom set on a scary flop. easy fold?

[qetou]

Anyone plays here for stacks? Not sure what I beat except for AKs and KKs, but would he push with those? Looks like he has JJ or AA.

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $99.00
BB: $101.00
UTG: $133.65
MP: $274.55
<font color="black">Hero (CO): $98.50</font>
BTN: $96.00

<font color="black">Reads: </font><font color="blue">villain is unknown</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $4.00</font>, Hero calls $4.00, 3 folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($9.50) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">MP bets $5.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $15.00</font>, <font color="red">MP raises all-in to $270.55</font>, Hero ...

Pot Size: $295.05 ($1.95 Rake)

[David1234]

what the hell, its like every other thread is about what to do with sets on the flop, this is what you do with sets on the flop: GET THE [censored] MONEY IN

[qetou]

[ QUOTE ]
what the hell, its like every other thread is about what to do with sets on the flop, this is what you do with sets on the flop: GET THE [censored] MONEY IN

[/ QUOTE ]
ok that sounds cool. his hand range please?

[blankoblanco]

[ QUOTE ]
what the hell, its like every other thread is about what to do with sets on the flop, this is what you do with sets on the flop: GET THE [censored] MONEY IN

[/ QUOTE ]

[vMario]

If he has AA or JJ it's a cooler, face it. Unlikely that he hit a flush there, looks more like AxKs(Qs) or maybe even AxJx - however, if he has a flush there, you still got about 30% chance of improving to FH.

I don't really like those scenarios either, quite read-based as well.

Correct me, if I am mistaken!
Good luck,
Mario V

[MortenTA]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
what the hell, its like every other thread is about what to do with sets on the flop, this is what you do with sets on the flop: GET THE [censored] MONEY IN

[/ QUOTE ]
ok that sounds cool. his hand range please?

[/ QUOTE ]

Im gonna assume that villain is unknown since you didn't provide stats.

As for his range goes I would say that something like this:

K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Tx, K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Jx, K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Qx, K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Ax, AK, AJ, AA, JJ.

IMO it's most likely that he has a strong draw and want's to pick up some FE with a push.

Get the money in please.

[qetou]

I dont think he has AJs/AJo given his small cbet and push to a raise, sounds more like AA/JJ/AKs or a made flush and we are so behind this range. I think we are still behind if I add AJ.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

24,750 games 0.005 secs 4,950,000 games/sec

Board: As Js 6s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 52.176% 50.81% 01.36% 12576 337.50 { 6d6h }
Hand 1: 47.824% 46.46% 01.36% 11499 337.50 { AA, KcKs, KdKs, KhKs, JJ, AJs, KsQs, KsJs, KsTs, QsJs, JsTs, Ts9s, 9s8s, AcKs, AdKs, AhKs, AJo }


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

15,840 games 0.005 secs 3,168,000 games/sec

Board: As Js 6s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.985% 35.13% 00.85% 5565 135.00 { 6d6h }
Hand 1: 64.015% 63.16% 00.85% 10005 135.00 { AA, KcKs, KdKs, KhKs, JJ, KsQs, KsJs, KsTs, QsJs, JsTs, Ts9s, 9s8s, AcKs, AdKs, AhKs }

[MortenTA]

IMO there is no way he would make this play with the nuts. You have to take out the made flushes with K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

As for scenario 1 goes - Would you fold?