NL 25 AKs FD + 2 overcards at paired board

[begoaspo]

villian was
42/14/0.6 over 64 Hands

2 hands before :

villian called a buttonraise with A6o on BB ,
UTG limp with Q8s


Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $20.20
<font color="black">Hero (BB): $25.00</font>
UTG: $23.05
MP: $2.95
CO: $34.15
BTN: $30.60

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $0.25, 3 folds, SB calls $0.15, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.00</font>, UTG calls $0.75, SB calls $0.75

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($3) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2.00</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to $9.00</font>, SB folds, <font color="red">Hero ...

ok , his Total agression is very nitty , could I really think that he was raising JJ/6x or AA/KK ?

whats your line playing those Hands at paired boars against those players ?

[Angrymoog]

You have to decide to either fold or push here. Have you seen villain raise any other hands post flop? His stats are donkish, so there is a definite chance he is trying to protect a pair of jacks here, in which case youre a favorite.

[begoaspo]

[ QUOTE ]
You have to decide to either fold or push here. Have you seen villain raise any other hands post flop? His stats are donkish, so there is a definite chance he is trying to protect a pair of jacks here, in which case youre a favorite.

[/ QUOTE ]

jj = boat (?!?) , but protect hands like AJ or QQ/TT
I thougt so ...

if so , Im a (very) small underdog

[Angrymoog]

I meant he paired a jack. I would think you'd be ahead of a reasonable range here, if only slightly. Enough for a push to give you some value simply due to the pot size.

[Savaron]

why just fold/push? i mean, call and look out for a fifth diamond. in my opinion you can't put him on JJ/J6 so i am not worried about a boat.

[wikemang]

If you're not worried about a boat, get the money in as a favorite against villain's pair of jacks.

[Emperor Norton]

[ QUOTE ]
If you're not worried about a boat, get the money in as a favorite against villain's pair of jacks.

[/ QUOTE ]

The trouble is that based on OP's read, a six is definitely within his range. You're flipping against a hand like QJ/JT, about 57/43 against AJ/KJ, and only 25-30% against a random six. Getting all of your money in on the flop is definitely -EV. Furthermore, even if he stacks off every time you hit a diamond on the turn, and he never catches up on the river, you don't have implied odds to call his flop bet. Heartbreaking, I know, but this has to be folded.

[AJGibson]

Probably only a slight chance he's bluffing so the best you can hope for here is 15 outs, therefore a slight favorite. However it's highly likely that you're worse off than that, therefore pretty easy fold IMO. Pushing just won't show a profit.

UTGs raise puts in $10 out of a stack of $23.05, he's pretty committed to the pot, calling is probably worse than pushing.