nl100 AA deep kill me now?

smolik75 · #1 05-19-2007, 05:53 AM

UTG is 25/18/2
and SB is a 36/10/2 and has been playing very poorly up to this point.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($479.85)
Button ($99.50)
SB ($233.25)
BB ($103.45)
UTG ($136.80)
MP ($62.40)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG raises to $3.5, 1 fold, Hero raises to $12, 1 fold, SB calls $11.50, 1 fold, UTG calls $8.50.

Flop: ($37) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, UTG bets $18, Hero raises to $78, SB raises to $221.25 (All-In), UTG folds, Hero throws up a little bit

is my whole line bad here? Can crazy villian ever have something retarded like 33, 66-1010? was raising the flop stupid?

McRoNiX · #2 05-19-2007, 09:20 AM

hmmm...
Looks more like he has trips or a straight already as hes check raising a reraise. When you say hes been playing bad, what do u mean? Is he capable of making this play with an overpair and if so is there more chance of an overpair or trips/straight?
Theres not many times I'd call here with one pair after my re-raise was getting raised, unless hes a total donk lol

mertzo · #3 05-19-2007, 09:34 AM

"playing very poorly up to this point"

instacall! He could have TT here for all we know.

mertzo · #4 05-19-2007, 09:38 AM

He needs to be doing this with about 7% of his overpairs TT+ for this to a call. Add a rare 33 or 66 and your missing out bigtime by folding.

cianosheehan · #5 05-19-2007, 09:41 AM

I dont see anything wrong with your play. And I'd be calling this too.

ICMoney · #6 05-19-2007, 12:03 PM

My Gut Reaction said fold.

You 3b and got cold called by SB.
I would tend to put SB on small-mid pocket here (22-JJ).

You pot a weak donk lead and get CR ai.

SB knows you are strong from preflop (TT+, maybe he thinks AK with gutter).
IMO, he’s folding 66-JJ and CRing with a set.

With your read I call.
You say SB is bad, so maybe he does this with 66.

Against only a set we are 20/80.
Against set, 66 we are 42/58.
Against a set or 99 we are 49/51.
Against a set, 66 or 99 we are 56/44.

Pot Odds: 2.47:1 (354:143). We need 28% equity.
I call.

orange · #7 05-19-2007, 12:20 PM

you need to clarify what you mean by playing very poorly up to this point " ".

RiverHebrew2 · #8 05-19-2007, 12:25 PM

UTG mite open up these hands, though I'd still snapcall this shove!? You still have best pair possible and gutshot. UTG's flop line looks like TT-QQ to me to try to take the pot while they're still ahead vs what they think is AK when they're oop. Folding is AWEFUL here. Raising the flop is good for value. Villain bet flop and probably would get it in here rather than on the turn where cards could make him shut down.

smolik75 · #9 05-19-2007, 02:56 PM

By playing poorly I mean that I have already stacked him once while he had tptk and my oesfd hit (one million outs ftw) so he could be a bit tilty. He has also been cold calling a lot of raises, calling down with 2nd pair etc.

My first reaction was to call, but there was a hand earlier where button (I) raised and got a call from both the blinds, and he check minraised 543 with 55. This worries me a little but I don't think he shoves a set here but raises for value? I do believe 66-1010 is a big part of his range, but do those hands just shove like that? I can see him cold calling my raise because that's how bad he is.

Normally it kinda seems like an instacall if we were only 100bb deep, but it's more than double that at this point.

and on a side note, he accumulated most of his stack over the last 20 or so hands, hitting some crazy hands so I also thought it was possible he had a "I'm on fire, time to make moves whenever I can" mentality.

townierailer · #10 05-19-2007, 03:04 PM

This reeks of QQ+, esp if the player is bad. Since overpairs are def in his range (what range of overpairs depends on how bad he is) I instacall