NL100 - QQ facing river push

[Luiz Verle]

Villain is a 19/15/2.6(160), but his river AF is only 1.0

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $101.60
BB: $19.90
UTG: $112.55
CO: $83.75
<font color="black">Hero (BTN): $148.70</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 Players)
UTG folds, CO calls $1.00, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5.00</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $16.00</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls $11.00

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($34) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $20.00</font>, Hero calls $20.00

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($74) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks

<font color="black">River:</font> ($74) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets all-in for $65.60</font>, Hero ...

Do I really have anything but a bluff catcher?

[AE6]

now that you're here a fold is standard, but you really should push the flop imo.

[m3gatl20n]

^Push flop or a liberal re raise.

[HoldemPokerPlyr]

Nobody puts him on a hand like pocket Jacks?

[sondring]

[ QUOTE ]
Nobody puts him on a hand like pocket Jacks?

[/ QUOTE ]

Not when he shoves the river.

[HoldemPokerPlyr]

Why not?

[TheChad]

JJ or AK would seem fair here. It would depend on my read. He could even have spades. I'd say 60/40 fold/call.

[sondring]

Because he's a 19/15 with a river aggression factor of 1.

I think AA, KK, AK and to a lesser extent clubs make up a large part of his range. Jacks and worse are like 5-10% IMHO.

[Hanzfat]

I prefer the 4 bet here. Your button raising range is prob pretty wide here and it follows that you still have his 3 betting range beaten. No need to slow play this spot. Against a fish I would prob put it to $50 ish here. Against this guy I would just push pre with QQ-AA and AKs, poss AKo if I'd seen the guy 3-betting a lot.

If you choose to call the 3 bet with QQ or JJ in this spot. You have to be willing to get it in on a low board. If he has AA/KK its a cooler. You have his range beat!!!!

[HoldemPokerPlyr]

[ QUOTE ]
Because he's a 19/15 with a river aggression factor of 1.

I think AA, KK, AK and to a lesser extent clubs make up a large part of his range. Jacks and worse are like 5-10% IMHO.

[/ QUOTE ]

Hmm...good analysis. I definitely don't think AK. AA or KK seems more likely. I'm feeling KK.

I hope he has the results.