100NL - KK on A high board, BUT with history..

[Sirasoni]

Villain in question is a multi-tabling tag running at 20/16/3 over a 6k hand sample. From what I can tell, he seems to be a winner and regular these stakes, and I wouldn't be surprised if he is 2p2.

My first big hand against him was this:

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $38.75
BB: $122.75
<u>UTG: $193.10</u>
<u>Hero (MP): $128.00</u>
CO: $231.90
BTN: $61.00

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $3.50</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $12.00</font>, 4 folds, UTG calls $8.50

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($25.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $18.00</font>, UTG calls $18.00

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($61.50) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

<font color="black">River:</font> ($61.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $33.00</font>, Hero calls $33.00

Pot Size: $127.50 ($3 Rake)

UTG had 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (two pair, Jacks and Fives) and LOST (-$63.00)
Hero had Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (two pair, Queens and Jacks) and WON (+$61.50)

However, just one hand of history is not enough to predict a player's entire post-flop pattern. What do you guys think about this hand, which occurred maybe 15 minutes later? (Also considering that we can assume villain knows we can check to induce bluffs)

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $53.35
BB: $100.00
<u>UTG: $157.60</u>
<u>Hero (MP): $209.30</u>
CO: $208.35
BTN: $12.00

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $3.50</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $12.00</font>, 4 folds, UTG calls $8.50

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($25.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $18.00</font>, UTG calls $18.00

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($61.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

<font color="black">River:</font> ($61.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $43.00</font>, Hero...