400nl - QQ again as overpair - facing strength

[skegvegaspoker]

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $2/$4 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $237.50
BB: $246.40
<font color="black">Hero (UTG): $777.20</font>
MP: $762.26
CO: $397.00
BTN: $408.80

<font color="blue"> Reads: Villain is 24/8/200 with aggression by streets of 4/inf/inf.
His WTSD% is 13% and I haven't seen him show down a hand in this session (only about 40 hands).</font>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt (6 Players)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $16.00</font>, 2 folds, BTN calls $16.00, SB calls $14.00, BB folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($52) (3 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $40.00</font>, BTN calls $40.00, SB folds

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($132) (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $84.00</font>, Hero calls $84.00

<font color="black">River:</font> ($300) (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $200.00</font>, Hero ???

Pretty sure I'm behind here, but tempting...

[lassie]

Snapcall this.

[FionnMac]

I call, but i think prefer bet/fold (or maybe bet/call) on this turn

[skegvegaspoker]

With his low WTSD (albeit over a small sample) I don't really see any hands I beat given his line, except for 89/45 perhaps.

[Johnes Benjamin]

Call, I think you've got him a big % of the time. Doubtful he floated w/ a 6 here, so unless he slowplayed a set youre good.
Could thikn a lower PP is good, but I feel like he has missed str8 draw here a lot

[BalugaWhale]

i idont understand the turn

[skegvegaspoker]

[ QUOTE ]
i idont understand the turn

[/ QUOTE ]

Could you explain this a little further?

[skegvegaspoker]

[ QUOTE ]
Call, I think you've got him a big % of the time. Doubtful he floated w/ a 6 here, so unless he slowplayed a set youre good.
Could thikn a lower PP is good, but I feel like he has missed str8 draw here a lot

[/ QUOTE ]

22/77/76 all look likely. His river bet makes all smaller PP's less likely IMO as he is turning them into a bluff. J can't have helped his range really, and he isn't scared of it. Bluff catcher by the river.

Much more interested in the turn. I thought this was pretty much standard here. Only realy draw I'm worried about is 98 I think.

Thoguhts?

[BalugaWhale]

seeing as he's passive and probably has a worse hand than ours
why aren't we betting?

[skegvegaspoker]

Because he is very very aggro post-flop. I'm happy for him to bluff worse hands into me here on the turn.