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  #1  
Old 05-12-2007, 02:22 AM
chrismystero chrismystero is offline
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Location: Staked.
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Default $11 HU NLTRN dispute

villain is ranked on sharkscope for HU at these stakes, so solid i guess. but someone please explain to me who is right/wrong here and why. if i am wrong i will accept it

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (2 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button (t2130)
Hero (t870)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t120</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t870</font>, Button calls t750.

Flop: (t1740) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

Turn: (t1740) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

River: (t1740) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

Final Pot: t1740

jayluf said, "nice reraise bro"
chrismystero said, "ty"
jayluf said, "must be why your ROI is a huge 2%"
jayluf said, "no ty required, i was mocking you"
chrismystero said, "nop thats cuz i play HU matches"
jayluf said, "i only play HU matches"
jayluf said, "and my ROI is 12%"
jayluf said, "and im ranked #12"
chrismystero said, "good for u"
chrismystero said, "sad that someone with good stats pouts on a loss coinflip"
jayluf said, "i could careless about loosing a coin flip"
jayluf said, "rather exploiting your horrible play"
chrismystero said, "would u like me to put u on a high pocket everytime u button
raise?"
jayluf said, "i raised 4x BB"
chrismystero said, "ur point?"
jayluf said, "you think im folding to a short stacks push?"
jayluf said, "your 33 is either against a pair biger than 33"
jayluf said, "which calls evertime"
jayluf said, "and then you are a 4:1 dog"
jayluf said, "so theres your -EV"
jayluf said, "or two big overs"
jayluf said, "which you are a 6:5 favorite"
jayluf said, "in the end"
chrismystero said, "ur a moron if u think 4x raise means anything more than a 3x
raise"
jayluf said, "you are about a 3:1 dog to win the hand with your reraise"
jayluf said, "smooth call or fold"
chrismystero said, "k, genius wut would u have done if u were me there?"
jayluf said, "you have zero fold equity"
chrismystero said, "smooth call and hate every non 3 flop"
jayluf said, "as the short stack with my raise given how ive played so far"
jayluf said, "like i said, im ranked, youre not. think you played the hand
right, i could careless"
chrismystero said, "cant believe u want me to fold a pocket shortstacksd HU cuz
u button raised"
jayluf said, "with 33? everytime"
chrismystero said, "hahah wowwwwww"
jayluf said, "its almost an automatic fold"
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  #2  
Old 05-12-2007, 04:09 AM
OneTwoThreeROBOT OneTwoThreeROBOT is offline
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Default Re: $11 HU NLTRN dispute

Unless he's a tight raiser (which I'm guessing he's not bc he's solid), I think the push is pretty standard. I expect him to fold a fair amount of the time.

On the other hand, if he doesn't raise much on this level, or with these stack sizes, he's probably only raising his better hands, which means he'll be more likely to call, and more likely to have a pair.

Yes, you're a big dog to a pair, but the chances of him having one are pretty slim, and definitely worth the risk when you consider your fold equity.

The only reason you would fold is if you think he won't fold to your push.
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  #3  
Old 05-12-2007, 09:08 AM
handparty handparty is offline
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Posts: 41
Default Re: $11 HU NLTRN dispute

He can't spell the word losing for one thing. And he sounds like a whiny dick.

I think there's definitely fold equity there, especially if he has something like A6 or A7 and is scared of A w/ higher kicker.

What did he turn over?
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  #4  
Old 05-12-2007, 04:15 PM
chrismystero chrismystero is offline
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Posts: 1,111
Default Re: $11 HU NLTRN dispute

[ QUOTE ]
What did he turn over?

[/ QUOTE ]
AKo
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  #5  
Old 05-12-2007, 05:41 PM
APXG APXG is offline
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Posts: 484
Default Re: $11 HU NLTRN dispute

Anyone who needs to defend themselves / berate others in chat is insecure and thus wrong by default in the long-term.
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  #6  
Old 05-12-2007, 05:43 PM
oe39 oe39 is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 511
Default Re: $11 HU NLTRN dispute

[ QUOTE ]

I think there's definitely fold equity there, especially if he has something like A6 or A7 and is scared of A w/ higher kicker.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, seems like he folds most of the time
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  #7  
Old 05-12-2007, 05:48 PM
Insane_Steve Insane_Steve is offline
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Posts: 468
Default Re: $11 HU NLTRN dispute

It's obvious to say that you have no fold equity when you know your opponent has AK in this spot.

I can see an argument for a call or a fold here. Against a good player, and from an hourly rate standpoint, a shove is perfectly fine here. A6o or JTs are not calling and likely raising the button. Smooth call is bad here with your stack out of position.

How does someone with a 12% ROI even think there's no fold equity in this hand? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
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  #8  
Old 05-15-2007, 01:33 AM
oe39 oe39 is offline
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Default Re: $11 HU NLTRN dispute

[ QUOTE ]
It's obvious to say that you have no fold equity when you know your opponent has AK in this spot.


[/ QUOTE ]

obvious + wrong
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  #9  
Old 05-15-2007, 05:06 AM
bluffbetter bluffbetter is offline
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Default Re: $11 HU NLTRN dispute

Maybe he only raises 4BB with something like AJ+ KQ and pairs and raises less with any other raising hands in which case if you knew this then you should fold preflop. But it's hard to work this out if this is the 1st time you've played him and I'm not sure if the stats programs can show raise frequency for various raise sizes on the table overlay so it's hard to keep count of these things in your head when you have loads of other decisions to make in the match.

And both sides are dealt a pair slightly more than one in 300 hands.
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  #10  
Old 05-15-2007, 01:34 PM
oe39 oe39 is offline
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Default Re: $11 HU NLTRN dispute

[ QUOTE ]

And both sides are dealt a pair slightly more than one in 300 hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

what does this have to do with anything?
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