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#1
05-10-2007, 05:15 AM
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Noooooooooooooooooooo
Villain is 35/20. My gut feeling is that he is bad. But that's always my initial assumption when I see lagtard-ish stats, and it's not trustworthy read. (I thought the same thing when I first saw MUCKEMSAYUHH at 2/4, lol.)
Full Tilt Poker No Limit Hold'em Cash Game $5/$10 Blinds 6 Players LegoPoker HH Converter FRUCKOFF: $1,304.00 <font color="black">cosmicpoker: $1,849.00</font> <font color="black">Hero: $2,457.00</font> Hart_Foundation: $1,210.00 acold2eyes: $571.25 merc500sl: $360.00 <font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players) <font color="red">Hero raises to $35</font>, Hart_Foundation folds, acold2eyes folds, merc500sl folds, FRUCKOFF folds, cosmicpoker calls $25 <font color="black">Flop:</font> ($75) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) cosmicpoker checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $55</font>, cosmicpoker calls $55 <font color="black">Turn:</font> ($185) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">cosmicpoker bets $100</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $485</font>, cosmicpoker calls $385 <font color="black">River:</font> ($1155) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) cosmicpoker checks, Hero vomits and... 
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#2
05-10-2007, 05:20 AM
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Re: Noooooooooooooooooooo
[ QUOTE ]
I thought the same thing when I first saw MUCKEMSAYUHH [/ QUOTE ] it took me a while to figure out why one of my buddylisted fish was always 8-12 tabling 1k or 2k tables. on the hand, you gotta bet the river. i dont know how he could be full, wouldnt this player always raise a set or two pair somewhere earlier in the hand?
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#3
05-10-2007, 05:28 AM
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Re: Noooooooooooooooooooo
[ QUOTE ]
i dont know how he could be full, wouldnt this player always raise a set or two pair somewhere earlier in the hand? [/ QUOTE ] Can he call $385 on the turn with any made hand worse than aces up? He can't have an ace with a flush draw. He might call turn raise with KsQs/KsJs/4s5s, but presumably those won't call river, unless I bet ridiculously small.
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#7
05-10-2007, 06:56 AM
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Re: Noooooooooooooooooooo
Check the river.
To call the turn raise he has to have a strong hand, especially given that you get extra respect for being UTG. The most likely hand he has is A(K-T), some other hands are possible but none of these will call. All of the aces are equally likely from a hand combination sense, so there is no value in betting because we beat AQ/AJ and AK/AT beat us. Moreover, from the way he played the hand we have to give some weight to AT. EDIT: or 44 perhaps.
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#8
05-10-2007, 07:10 AM
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Re: Noooooooooooooooooooo
I don't see him having better then A4,AT here if he has us beat tho.
I don't expect a LAG to lead the turn with Aces up or a set then only call the turn reraise. But who knows maybe he's a smart(!!) lag. So basicly, he chk calls flop with set/two pair. leads turn but only calls reraise. THEN tries to chk raise the river. Shiish, that's tricky. I think I'm betting 700ish here and don't expect to get cr all that often really.
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#9
05-10-2007, 07:17 AM
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Re: Noooooooooooooooooooo
your right that his lack of river lead / turn 3-bet weakens his range somewhat. But I do believe he would simply call the turn raise with AT, esp. because we are UTG. He should be folding all weaker aces..... Hmmmmn
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