bet/call or check behind?

[BuzzKillington]

no reads as i just sat down

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is BB with A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG raises, 2 folds, SB calls, Hero 3-bets, UTG calls, SB calls.


Flop: 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (9SB, 3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, UTG folds, SB calls.


Turn: 3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5.5BB, 2 players)
SB checks.

[jstill]

i bet most of the time here, not sure if this is maybe a spot to have a balanced strategy. If a guy autobets any time I check behind I mix in a ck behind and call UI here and there.

[jba]

i think you should check, pretty sure you're a dog here and he's never folding a better hand.

[milesdyson]

"i think you should check, pretty sure you're a dog here and he's never folding a better hand."

i agree we're probably a dog but i think betting is better.

[jba]

[ QUOTE ]
"i think you should check, pretty sure you're a dog here and he's never folding a better hand."

i agree we're probably a dog but i think betting is better.

[/ QUOTE ]

hmmm.. why. you agree he's never folding a better hand?

[milesdyson]

i don't think we're that big of a dog, and i think getting valuetowned or folding the best hand to a river bet is a bigger factor than the fraction of a bet we lose betting the turn. i do also agree with you that he's never folding a better hand. there are just so many worse hands he can call with on this board. any two overs with a diamond, a gutshot, etc.

[mute]

Curious why you guys think hero is a dog here. There's like a million hands he could have, that his still ahead of, and when behind he has a lot of outs. I bet, and I don't think it's close.

[Oink]

[ QUOTE ]
i don't think we're that big of a dog, and i think getting valuetowned or folding the best hand to a river bet is a bigger factor than the fraction of a bet we lose betting the turn. i do also agree with you that he's never folding a better hand. there are just so many worse hands he can call with on this board. any two overs with a diamond, a gutshot, etc.

[/ QUOTE ]

Excellent post! Tho I am not so sure Hero is a dog, thats a pretty drawy board and villain is peeling all sorts of crap on the flop.

[Kvacke]

I think the turn is a bet. He just called preflopp and didnt cap when he got the chance so that leaves out a lot of the best stuff. He just c/c the flop, so it really looks like he have:
KQ,KJ,KT,QJ,JTs,AJ,AT,A9 - hands like that, many with a diamond that might bet into oss on the river if it hits and we can raise.
Those hands we are ahead of so I just like a bet here and take the free showdown, becouse Im defently going to invest one more bet and like bet the turn more than callin the river.

[bassLine]

With no reads but the action thus far betting looks a clear choice.

1) It is a big pot.
2) He might call drawing very slim (4 outs)
3) You can check UI if he calls.
4) You are not going to get raised often.