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  #1  
Old 05-05-2007, 10:17 AM
PaulWilmot PaulWilmot is offline
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Default Help me analyze, not sure i am winning player

So i've been playing 10/20 regularly.

Now one of my flaws or my style if you'd like is i *never* cap the PF if raised from behind or from SB/BB.
I do cap PF if 3 or more are in pot according to equity of a certain hand.
I have also stopped 3betting on flop with 2 overcards (i just call k/r), even with OESDs and flush draws w/o overcards - again unless with more people in the pot according to equity.


I use no software other than Poker Tracker and i have no reads on opponents besides notes and spectating. I lurk here.
I ussualy play one or two tables at most. Problem with it is i get pretty upset about suckouts and i try to "get back" on higher limits "where they respect my raises". I guess no need to go on from here.

Here are stats of my last bravura performance.
Interpret results plz.
Comments greatly appreciated, tips, flames, everthing.
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  #2  
Old 05-05-2007, 11:37 AM
Hoi Polloi Hoi Polloi is offline
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Location: workin\' the variance bell curve
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Default Re: Help me analyze, not sure i am winning player

I cannot see the image.

Never capping pre-flop is a big mistake. Not playing draws aggressively against players who will fold the turn to aggression is a huge mistake (you cannot win without hitting your outs; your style makes you easy to play against). Tilting when your opponents make mistakes and suckout on you is a mistake; if you tilt huge, it is a huge mistake.

As you know, LHE is a game of variance. Don't risk flattening the top of the curve by trying to flatten the bottom of it. Just play good poker.
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  #3  
Old 05-05-2007, 12:10 PM
PaulWilmot PaulWilmot is offline
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Default Re: Help me analyze, not sure i am winning player

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  #4  
Old 05-05-2007, 07:13 PM
justin justin is offline
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Default Re: Help me analyze, not sure i am winning player

Variance
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  #5  
Old 05-05-2007, 07:34 PM
Leader Leader is offline
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Default Re: Help me analyze, not sure i am winning player

3K hands is nothing, bro. Focus on getting better not short-term results.
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  #6  
Old 05-05-2007, 07:55 PM
pegboy pegboy is offline
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Default Re: Help me analyze, not sure i am winning player

3000 hands? Forgive my ignorance but is this not a very small sample? I usually track at least 20000 hands before analyzing through the clouds of variance.

That said, you're losing money dude. I'm not about to figure out how according to that image. But I will tell you this. When I hear a player say he likes to play with players who can lay down more hands because they respect raises, that points to a big leak. Bad players call with second best. Good players win those pots. There would be smaller pots to win if they didn't call.

One of the biggest fallacies in poker is that it's easier to beat higher limits. Show me some of your stats from lower limits?
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  #7  
Old 05-05-2007, 08:22 PM
SteveL91 SteveL91 is offline
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Default Re: Help me analyze, not sure i am winning player

To add on to what's been said, it looks like you might be doing a fair amount of limping; however, I obviously can't tell if it's over-limping or open-limping. If it's the latter, stop it; you're going to get isolated way too often. If it's the former, re-examine what hands you're willing to limp with and in what situations.

Playing ~34/24 while only stealing 38% of the time and folding your BB 55% of the time (IMO) signifies a fair amount of (and perhaps too much) limping. Now, it may very well be dictated by the game, but I would tend to doubt it given the typical landscape of 10/20.
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  #8  
Old 05-05-2007, 08:35 PM
ILOVEPOKER929 ILOVEPOKER929 is offline
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Default Re: Help me analyze, not sure i am winning player

If youre not sure you are a winning player then you probably arent. Put another way, if you are playing in a game and you are uncertain if you have an edge or not chances are no edge exists.
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  #9  
Old 05-06-2007, 04:22 AM
goofball goofball is offline
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Default Re: Help me analyze, not sure i am winning player

Why on earth you would never cap preflop?!?!
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  #10  
Old 05-06-2007, 05:43 AM
PaulWilmot PaulWilmot is offline
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Default Re: Help me analyze, not sure i am winning player

I never open limp. I only mix play in SB with limping/raising.
Situations where i do not cap are like this (OOP mostly). I am CO and raise, SB 3 bets, i just call with either JTo or KK.
I do 3 bet PF from BB only if SB raised, otherwise just call from whatever pos. raise had come.

Meh, i am confused i just have not experienced any larger downswings yet and its not pleasant because mind doesnt comprehend with losses too well.
Is Aggresion factor OK? Should i be more aggro where situation demands so?
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