5/10 AA on an Oogly Board

JustZak · #1 02-17-2006, 07:14 PM

BB is 37/4.1/0.4 after 25 hands
CO is 29/6.5/2.0 after 120 hands

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
5 folds, Hero raises, CO calls, 2 folds, BB 3-bets, Hero caps, CO calls, BB calls.

Flop: (12.40 SB) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, CO calls, BB calls.

Turn: (7.70 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB bets

Whats the plan?

bilbo-san · #2 02-17-2006, 07:40 PM

Yikes. Looks very much like BB has AK. Given his aggression factor I don't see many hands you could be ahead of here, unless BB would donk AQ like this.

The fact that CO is still hanging around is also worrisome. It's hard for me to think of any holding he could have that he would call but not raise the flop with (other than a set), unless he's silly enough to think 99 or 88 is ever good here.

You could raise, planning to take a free showdown (and folding to a 3-bet from either player).

Hobbs. · #3 02-17-2006, 07:42 PM

call down.

BostonMetro · #4 02-17-2006, 07:44 PM

Something tells me BB flopped a set of jacks or tens - BB's afraid to give a king a free OESD so he's leading out. I think you have about 4-5 outs here and you might instead be good, so I would just call. I don't think it hurts that much to give a cheap(er) card to CO if he's drawing b/c you might already be behind and getting three bet drawing to a possible split would be really sad. If either of these players raised this street I would fold. I will call one bet on the river UI. You are such a huge dog to sets and drawing really thin (1.5 outs against AK).

toss · #5 02-17-2006, 07:49 PM

Calldown because villain may have two pair and you don't want to get 3-bet holding 4 or 6 or 10 outs.

a1WDC182 · #6 02-18-2006, 07:45 AM

I think at this point you should call down. The pot is/will be to big to fold for two bets.