3/6, 150BBs deep, good bluff?

[ocklind]

I haven't gone out of line, neither has villain. To few hands on him to post any stats but villain has been standard aggro on the flop and I really expect him to raise on the flop here w/ a set/AA/KK. With AA or KK he'd prob raise PF since we're semi-deep.


I think he'd call w/ a lot of hands PF, like 22-QQ and on the flop 99-QQ. Maybe he'll raise w/ QQ.

Since we are kinda deep a raise from him w/ a flushdraw could mean a push from me which he probably won't have odds to call so therefore he might have a flushdraw. (if he raises my 110 to about 330 and I push another $722,25 into a $593 pot)

I basically want to rep AA/KK who got scared of the spade on the turn and decided to bet the river for value.

Whaddy'all think?

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $3/$6 Blinds - 3 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $643
<font color="black">Hero (BB): $907.25</font>
BTN: $973.94

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A (3 Players)
<font color="red">BTN raises to $21</font>, SB folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $75</font>, BTN calls $54

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($153) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $110</font>, BTN calls $110

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($373) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

<font color="black">River:</font> ($373) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $280</font>

[mythrilfox]

this is bad

[Shady Poker]

[ QUOTE ]
this is bad

[/ QUOTE ]

[mungpo]

I'm checking the flop. Bad?

[HoosierAlum]

spewage

[MatthewRyan]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm checking the flop. Bad?

[/ QUOTE ]

do you check the flop with an over pair?

I think betting the flop and giving up is better then just giving up when you (usually) miss the flop

[RiverHebrew2]

Don't think he's folding overpair, could have flush or straight... jus c/f river. I think with a big overpair, you wouldn't vbet this river, you would be more inclined to c/c. IMO, you can only have nut flush, which you're probably betting turn anyway, or 8's full. I jus don't think you'll get enough credit here since your line is not completely consident with a hand you're representing, so c/f.

[LiLApprentice]

[ QUOTE ]
so c/f.

[/ QUOTE ]

[mak15]

i've done it and like it against a good villain. without a read i'd check/fold though.

[Darkfolder]

[ QUOTE ]
I think with a big overpair, you wouldn't vbet this river, you would be more inclined to c/c.

[/ QUOTE ]
Why would we c/c rather than b/f with an overpair?