Why do I always want to fire the third barrel?

[Duck Rabbit]

Villain is 32/14/1 over very small sample. I think he could have something like JQ, JK, JT alot of the time here. If he called with one of those hands on the turn, I really don't think he can call a river bet. Or does the fact that he called the turn mean he won't fold the river since nothing really changed on the board?

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $2/$4 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $479.05
BB: $193.60
UTG: $372.10
MP: $304
<u>Hero (CO): $438.10</u>
<u>BTN: $925</u>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt 8 9 (6 Players)
UTG calls $4, MP folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $18</font>, BTN calls $18, 3 folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($46) 2 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $32</font>, BTN calls $32

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($110) A (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $85</font>, BTN calls $85

<font color="black">River:</font> ($280) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero wants to fire a 3rd barrel

[fitnessfreak]

against a station like this i usually give up on the turn. choose your two and three barrel targets wisely, itll save you lots of money in the long run.

on the river i probably wuss out and check.

[HERE_2_gamble_]

Worst possible river....

[ikestoys]

the prob is that this player often floats with A10ish here and isn't folding river

[Trivial]

If you're intending on firing a third barrel here then make it a shove. Either that or check/folding the turn sounds good against this guy.

[Duck Rabbit]

Firing a third barrel is definitely very thin here. Betting the turn seems alright since he'll PROBABLY fold if he doesn't have an A or some wacky two pair. Right?

[Matt G]

[ QUOTE ]
Or does the fact that he called the turn mean he won't fold the river since nothing really changed on the board?


[/ QUOTE ]

Not to mention its not like he is drawing on this flop. Id only fire once at this one. If you wanna get a little fps, you could cr the turn but I would rarely do that.

[berserk]

2nd barrel seems pretty standard here... 3rd is no good though.

[Oki-Oki]

3rd barrel here is complete spew. Save your money. A 32/14/1 player is really not the type to 3 barrel also this is the worst river ever 4u.

[Vidocq]

The problem is the "very small sample size." Firing all three barrels is so opponent dependent. You don't have enough of a read. Based on the information available, you probably have to give up.