missed semi-bluff oportunity?

[jt1]

With a small size, Villain is a TAG with a reasonable SD% rate.

EDIT: Actually, the sample size was significant and his SD% was a 31%. (Why he posted UTG, I'm not sure but his stats read TAG)

Full Tilt 3/6 Hold'em (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. UTG posts a blind of $3.
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG (poster) calls.

Flop: (4.50 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, UTG calls.

Turn: (5.75 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks,

[sethypooh21]

What's he folding that he went for 3-bets on the flop? Take the free one.

[jt1]

[ QUOTE ]
What's he folding that he went for 3-bets on the flop? Take the free one.


[/ QUOTE ]

Do you ever fire again on turn and river here? I think almost every tight player would fold the river with less than top pair.

[jba]

I would pretty much never 3bet the flop here. if you're not taking the free card I can't imagine this is profitable.

[sethypooh21]

[ QUOTE ]
I would pretty much never 3bet the flop here. if you're not taking the free card I can't imagine this is profitable.

[/ QUOTE ]

What he said - if you are going to semi bluff the turn, call the flop C/R and raise the turn - you're 3-bet, bet the turn line looks like just what it is, a semi bluff-flush draw with 1 or more overs.

[Purgatory]

[ QUOTE ]
I would pretty much never 3bet the flop here. if you're not taking the free card I can't imagine this is profitable.

[/ QUOTE ]

You don't think he is folding some ragged pair to a turn bet at least some of the time--assuming he is not a showdown monkey?

[jt1]

[ QUOTE ]
if you are going to semi bluff the turn, call the flop C/R and raise the turn

[/ QUOTE ]

Yea, I didn't even think of that. The idea was to take the free card but once I did, I thought that maybe I missed a shot.

[sethypooh21]

Also, looking at the hand, the guy posted. Ergo he's bad. Ergo he doensn't like to fold...just food for thought.

[Transference]

Villian is taking a shot at you &gt; than 50% (maybe as high as 75%)on the flop IMHO.

[Oink]

What jba and sethy said!