16: oesd short stacked

Finnisher · #1 04-23-2007, 01:38 AM

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t400 with t25 antes (5 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

UTG (t3760)
CO (t4410)
Button (t1045)
SB (t2730)
Hero (t1555)

Preflop: Hero is in BB with 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
UTG calls t400, CO folds, Button folds, SB calls t200, Hero checks

Flop: (t1325) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG bets t400, SB folds, Hero raises to t1130 (All-in), UTG calls t730

Villain has a blog at sngicons. I've only played a couple of tourneys with him and I assume he's solid. I guess the pf limp is AA, maybe KK or a misclick. He's not folding to my raise unless he'll misclick. ICM says shoving without FE is -2.1%. Folding leaves me with t1130 in the SB and I'm not sure how accurate ICM is here. So is shoving even close? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

TheNoodleMan · #2 04-23-2007, 01:41 AM

I hate the flop c/r.
If you're going to get it in here, at least do it with some FE.

Finnisher · #3 04-23-2007, 01:45 AM

I thought my only FE was him timing out or misclicking, I doubt he would fold AA or KK on this flop to my psb.

DeuceSeven · #4 04-23-2007, 02:13 AM

I'd rather just shove the flop.

Kevin8423 · #5 04-23-2007, 02:15 AM

I think you can shove this flop. What solid player is limping AA/KK here?

JROK777 · #6 04-23-2007, 04:33 AM

Tricky good ones. The only player he has to worry about outdrawing him is the CO. It's not going to be a limp fest with the blinds this high. Most players are going to shove 55+ATo vs. this weak limp. He'll have them drawing slim. Maybe the CO will make a big raise w/TT+AQo+. I like this play a lot w AA here.